New Eurocoin is out and signaling improvement of the Euro area economy, albeit at a slowing rate. Inputs first:
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Industrial production is tapering off through November - despite some seasonal pressure to rebuild stocks pre-sales season. Ditto for PMIs:
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France and Spain continue to worry in the above due to clearly weakening domestic demand, while Italy and Germany are showing signs of advanced orders falling slightly off - future exports might be challenged.
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Consumer weaknesses are highlighted below:
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Loud and clear!
So forecast is for moderation in Eurocoin rise and thus a slowdown in the increase in growth into Q2 2010. Will Q1 2010 be the strongest bounce of 2010?
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Forecast still to the upside in Q1 and Q2 2010, but this depends on Q4 2009 results, which
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