Showing posts with label alcohol consumption and mortality. Show all posts
Showing posts with label alcohol consumption and mortality. Show all posts

Tuesday, September 24, 2013

24/9/2013: Public Health, and Legal v Illegal Drugs...

In light of the Government push for stricter tobacco regulations while happily cheering the Arthur Day and providing support for the drink celebrations across the country, here's an interesting 2010 study (full citation at the bottom of the post) of the effects of various drugs in terms of causing various types of individual (user) and common (social) harm. Note: I have no objection to the idea that taken in moderation, alcohol is hardly harmful to anyone involved. Then again, I have possibly an objection as to what constitutes moderation in the case of Arthur Day level of booze consumption in Ireland…

Background: "Proper assessment of the harms caused by the misuse of drugs can inform policy makers in health, policing, and social care. We aimed to apply multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) modelling to a range of drug harms in the UK."

Method: "Members of the Independent Scientific Committee on Drugs, including two invited specialists, met in a 1-day interactive workshop to score 20 drugs on 16 criteria: nine related to the harms that a drug produces in the individual and seven to the harms to others. Drugs were scored out of 100 points, and the criteria were weighted to indicate their relative importance."

Findings: "MCDA modelling showed that heroin, crack cocaine, and metamfetamine were the most harmful drugs to individuals (part scores 34, 37, and 32, respectively), whereas alcohol, heroin, and crack cocaine were the most harmful to others (46, 21, and 17, respectively). Overall, alcohol was the most harmful drug (overall harm score 72), with heroin (55) and crack cocaine (54) in second and third places."

Interpretation: "These findings lend support to previous work assessing drug harms, and show how the improved scoring and weighting approach of MCDA increases the differentiation between the most and least harmful drugs. However, the findings correlate poorly with present UK drug classification, which is not based simply on considerations of harm."

And here are some charts (you can click on each chart to open a larger image)

Methodological tree used in assessment:

Overall results along two main branches of the methodological tree:

Two-dimensional positioning of the two main branches scores:




Lastly, all 16 criteria mapped:


As I quipped on twitter earlier this week, maybe before introducing plain packaging laws for tobacco products we should introduce blank labels for alcohol too? After all, if restricting the former is about public and personal health, restricting the latter at least as much would make sense. Not that I subscribe to the idea that the former is any good of a policy tool... just pointing the inherent contradiction in Government's strategies to deliver improvements in public health...


Study link: http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(10)61462-6/abstract

Citation: Nutt, David J, King, Leslie A and Phillips, Lawrence D. (2010) Drug harms in the UK: a multicriteria decision analysis. The Lancet, 376 (9752). pp. 1558-1565. ISSN 0140-6736

Note: I wrote about research on links between alcohol and mortality here (see bottom of the post).

Friday, July 19, 2013

19/7/2013: WLASze Part 1: Weekend Links on Arts, Sciences and zero economics


The first part of my regular WLASze (Weekly Links on Arts, Sciences and zero economics)... enjoy!

Before we begin, you can now follow my art wandering on-line here: http://theartstack.com/gurdgiev

And a nice pre-cursor to news yet to be released... something special is brewing for September 14th... news here, once public...

Now, on to WLASze:

Starting with some art. Altman Siegel Gallery showing Trevor Paglen photography. Here are select two images from the show and one image from archives:

A nearly abstract expressionist quality to this panoramic shot's composition:


Followed by 'spin'-styled composition:


And one of delightfully dark and dynamic, almost threatening with density and light:


The photograph's texture is so rich and viscous and the composition so stripped out of superfulous positioning drama to its raw natural subject that it reminds me of one of my old favourites: Emil Nolde. Especially his poignant late watercolours - artist's favourite medium in the 1940s after he was forbidden to paint by the Nazi regime in 1941 (though Nolde was a member of the Nazi party and yet was deemed to be unworthy of being called an artist. His work featured in the famous Entartete Kunst, 1937).




Meanwhile, in Orange County (yes, Detroit's bankruptcy spings to mind) we have an on-going California-Pacific Triennial, showing an excellent Araya Rasdjarmrearnsook Two Planets: Millet’s The Gleaners and the Thai Farmers, 2008


Some more of the Thai artist works: http://www.trfineart.com/exhibitions/28. Millet too dressed up his gleaners as if they were heading out to the church, just as Rasdjarmrearnsook’s Thai framers are dressed as if for posing...


Loving juxtapositions and ever slightly shifting toward science: "Ulric Collette is a French-Canadian photographer who does some quirky portrait work. In his photo series “Genetic Portraits” he photographs family members and then cuts them side by side to create one portrait." Genetic manipulation or photographic nature? Or vice versa? It's juxtaposition of age and genetics - one denotes distance, another proximity.


Proximity v distance juxtaposition leads to time v gravity juxtaposition and to Trinity College, Dublin where it took scientists 69 years to carry out one experiment - not to discover something new, but to illustrate a point: it takes a very long time for very viscous stuff to succumb to gravity...
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=worlds-slowest-moving-drop-caught-on-camera-at-last Best quote: "it takes 7 to 13 years for a drop to form, but only a tenth of a second for it to fall". I dare not think what Sunday Indo might say about the use of taxpayers money for this stuff, but it made Scientific American and that is worth an Irish punt or two or few thousands... Oh, and in case you wonder - no, Physics gang did not invite celebrity economists to watch the historical moment...


Staying with juxtapositions for one more trip... WordlessTech has a photoshop fascination with merging 'two opposite place, New York and the Grand Canyon' that worries me for one reason: what is it in Grand Canyon's imagery that makes people constantly desiring to do aesthetic violence to it? http://wordlesstech.com/2013/07/18/merge-new-york-in-the-grand-canyon/ . I wrote about Grand Canyon as the focal or experiential point last week here. My plea is for people to stop attempting to fill Grand Canyon with 'stuff', bridge it with hotels and make it accessible to couch potatoes beyond the usual 'view from the top'. It is here to challenge, beat us into dreadful sweat and wear our legs out. It is not here to sip double-skinny-caramel-dill-latte while levitating in some fancy capsule over the abyss...


And onto science, simple: Classic dilemma for those in pursuit of public health and personal well-being: drink or dry… or trilemma for some cultures: drink till you drop, drink or dry… or 'To Drink or Not to Drink' problem.

Much of the research on life expectancy in relation to alcohol consumption shows an inverted U-shaped relationship: mortality is high for those who drink alot and... for those who do not drink. The question, that so far remained un-answered is: but why? What explains higher mortality for those who do not drink at all.

A recent paper (here is its 2012 version http://paa2012.princeton.edu/papers/122744) looked at a huge data set on drinkers and non-drinkers that covered their 'survivorship' data and also data about their social and physical health. The study divided nondrinkers into three major categories:

  • "abstainers" - people who had 12 or less drinks in their lives; 
  • "infrequent drinkers" - people who consumed less than 12 drinks a year; and 
  • "former drinkers"

They then sub-divided Abstainers into sub-clusters.

  • Abstainers with religious or moral motivations for not consuming alcohol, not drinking due to their sense of responsibility to their family had similar mortality risks to light drinkers.
  • Abstainers who dislike the taste of alcohol and referenced this dislike as the main driver for not consuming alcohol had mortality risk 17% higher than light drinkers
  • Infrequent drinkers overall exhibited a slightly higher mortality risk than light drinkers. 
  • Former drinkers had the highest mortality risk of all nondrinkers. 
  • Former drinkers with reasons for abstaining included being an alcoholic and problems with drinking had 38% higher mortality risk

So the dilemma/trilemma is sorted: enjoy your life, but don't abuse the enjoyment lest it becomes an addiction?


And while on drink subject, here is a more current data study on 'drink till you drop' cluster mortality outcomes: http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2013/07/130719085152.htm
Not a light-hearted piece of research, although I disagree with one of the scientists' policy prescriptions, but, hey that 'ze' in WLASze stands for 'zero economics', so no more on this...


Small Print Stuff: The above statements and research are not an endorsement of either consumption or non-consumption of anything, including alcohol. Please, exercise caution when operating heavy machinery while consuming vanilla ice cream. But seriously - do stay safe!

And stay tuned for Part 2 of WLASze coming up tomorrow.