Showing posts with label Northern Ireland. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Northern Ireland. Show all posts

Sunday, July 26, 2015

26/7/15: It Rains, It Pours... And Next There Can Be a Deluge ...over Nama


When it rains, it darn well pours… in the case of Nama and Irish Banking Inquiry, the rule is iron clad.

First, Nama:

Just yesterday I posted two links on most recent allegations concerning Nama in Northern Ireland. And today, we have a couple from the Republic.

Per first link, apparently, "A furious row has erupted between developer Michael O'Flynn and Nama following his appearance before the Banking Inquiry." The row is about Mr O'Flynn's claim that he was pressured to sell assets to 'preferred bidders' over the top bidders.

Nama says this is not true.

We have no idea as to who to believe, although Mr O'Flynn has nothing to gain from making up anything about Nama, given he has now existed the wretched institution and is free to return to normal life. And Mr O'Flynn appears to have more to say about Nama that seems to be pretty much in accord with what other Namaed developers are saying and what Nama seems to be denying as well. "Mr O'Flynn said while the O'Flynn Group had formulated a business plan for Nama aimed at repaying all the money it owed, this had been rejected without any discussion in relation to its content".

Which, of course, brings us back to that notion of value destruction that Nama should address before any inquiry into Nama attempts to address it.

Recall that Nama required all developers to submit Business Plans. Following their reviews by Nama, Nama issued simple 'decline' letters, requiring new plans to be re-submitted. Nama subsequently rejected a vast majority of these as well. So far - pretty bad, but it gets worse. Nama rejections came with zero specific details given as to the exact reasons for the agency decision. These plans were prepared by professional teams (not by developers personally) and contained very detailed pricings, costings, analysis etc of assets covered by the plans, based on external evaluations, existent permissions and ventures, and so on. Nama appears to have offered no substantive reasons for the rejections of substantive plans. In the case of O'Flynn the allegation is now on the record. In at least five other cases that I am familiar with  the same has been also alleged and in some formed part of submission to the courts.

The rejections of at least some plans led to Nama pursuing strategies for managing underlying assets that can be questioned in terms of their ability to deliver maximum value return to both the taxpayers and the original borrowers (Nama owes the latter the duty of care in relation to their assets). The shortfalls arising from Nama failure to execute reasonable plans was loaded, through personal guarantees, on the original borrowers. Which, effectively, means that for some reasons, undisclosed to anyone, Nama has opted to potentially dump vast amounts of risk and costs onto original borrowers. It would be damaging enough were this was done with at least a token of propriety in the form of explaining the rejection of the Business Plans. But it is doubly bad given that Nama seemed to have simply dismissed the Plans without any explanation.


The second link is more distant to Nama operations than the first, so I won't cover it in any detail here. Still do enjoy Indo's "Daly's charity role is 'private'". Hint: keep an eye out for familiar names...


No wonder the whole place at the higher reaches of the Grand Canal St is now resembling the flock of seagulls abandoned at sea by a fishing trawler: noise, feathers, chaos…

Stay tuned for the Banking Inquiry shambles post next.

Saturday, July 25, 2015

25/7/15: Nama: Some Colder Winds from the North...


Ah, the Dear Nama, the outpost of taxpayers interests, the Beacon of the New Ireland (not to be confused with the financial company of the same name) reborn by the FF/GP/FG/LP efforts over the recent years, efforts yielding path-breaking reforms in transparency and governance that the Beacon exemplifies.

The shining light… that comes from the North and the South… right?…

- Newsletter story http://www.newsletter.co.uk/news/regional/dup-ministers-took-keen-interest-in-approach-by-potential-nama-bidder-1-6867233 about the [some might say unhealthy] curiosity in Nama taken by some Ministers up North. There are [comfortably, for coach spectators down South] now familiar household names, as well as now expected whig of [pungent not] airs of something going on. But all to be revealed in some hearings that "NAMA has already said that it will not attend…" Nothing is confirmed, of course, so all questions to the Newsletter, please.

- And there is a blog posting something claimed to be documents https://jamiebrysonblog.wordpress.com/2015/07/24/paddy-kearney-released-from-cerberus-loan-debt-thanks-to-robinsons-influence-nama/ with an enticing headline "Paddy Kearney released from Cerberus loan debt thanks to Robinsons ‘influence’ #NAMA". Probably about more hearings that Nama will not attend. But again peppered with the Northern names so familiarly comforting to the readers in the South. That said, as stated above, nothing is confirmed, so all questions to the Northern Irish folks, please.

Yes, yes… keep in mind, the rates of return are what matters in Nama relation to us all… rest… why, yes - a roadkill of bad publicity.

Meanwhile, talking of bad publicity [unrelated to Nama], Drummer is itching to give Brian Cowen a proverbial black eye: http://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/banking-inquiry-david-drumm-to-contradict-brian-cowen-1.2296583. Which, of course, won't be allowed to happen, because the narrative of 'Bad Anglo, Good Public Servants' [including those very absent-minded and forgetful politicians... remember the horrible thing they did to Uncle Bert by dragging him into the spotlight of the Banking Inquiry? Good thing that went nowhere, fast...] must be maintained as the sole explanation for the bankrupting of the nation, done, of course, by Anglo… solely… alone… without anyone's help.


You can follow trail of Nama-related stories on the blog from here: http://trueeconomics.blogspot.ie/2015/07/16715-thinking-of-nama-dont-forget-them.html or via search facility. Enjoy. And remember, there is nothing to worry about in any of this…

Saturday, July 11, 2015

11/7/15: For Nama, Karma's a generous bitch...


Refusing to go away... Nama story of Stg7 million 'set-aside' and Stg15 million fees demand off Pimco (notified by the fund to Nama and seemingly ignored by Nama, except to the point of not involving Pimco in subsequent sale) is now rolling into investigation stages in the UK and, potentially, the U.S. http://www.independent.ie/irish-news/news/nama-debtors-helped-uncover-7m-payment-31368628.html.

Just because, as someone pointed out to me in poignant terms: Karma is a bitch... Well, it may be so, but so far, Nama is sitting pretty, with average salary for an employee in excess of EUR100,000 and golden handshakes for the departing employees averaging EUR34,000 and lavish pensions entitlements... Karma might be a bitch, but when it comes to Nama, it is a generous bitch at our expense...

You can follow back a list of my posts on Nama most recent controversies starting from here: http://trueeconomics.blogspot.ie/2015/07/6715-more-nama-and-ibrc-headlines.html.

Update: FT covering the Nama story: http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/11109080-26f2-11e5-bd83-71cb60e8f08c.html#axzz3faW3h8ag. Because Irish reputational capital yields have been too low of late...

Monday, July 6, 2015

6/7/15: More Nama and IBRC headlines


More interesting 'stuff' is seeping into the public domain from Nama and IBRC:

  1. Irish Times on PIMCO reporting to Nama an un-solicited approach http://www.irishnews.com/news/2015/07/04/news/-unsolicited-approach-to-pimco-to-buy-nama-loans-161616/ "...at least one informal meeting took place at Stormont in late 2013 - thought to have involved Ian Coulter, Frank Cushnahan and a senior politician - with a view to Pimco acquiring Nama’s northern portfolio in its entirety". 
  2. A report in the Indo on John Flynn's letter concerning IBRC overcharging: http://www.independent.ie/business/irish/banking-inquiry/bank-inquiry-refuses-to-probe-anglo-overcharging-31352266.html

On the second story above, see the letter and the links posted here: http://trueeconomics.blogspot.ie/2015/06/1762015-mr-john-flynns-letter-to.html and BankCheck report reprinted here: http://trueeconomics.blogspot.ie/2015/06/21615-bankcheck-report-into-anglo-ibrc.html

Saturday, July 4, 2015

4/7/15: Another Nama Story That Won't Go Away...


While everyone is obsessed with Greece, our little island is quietly slipping into yet another Nama-linked scandal. Here we go - some links on that, without a comment by me (for legal reasons, of course):
  1. "Nama property sale: Mick Wallace claims Belfast firm had £7m in bank after deal"  http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-33372786
  2. "Secret tapes stored on £7m Nama deal"  http://www.irishnews.com/news/2015/07/04/news/secret-tapes-stored-on-7m-nama-deal-162532/
  3. "Nama adviser had concerns over property sale 'wall of silence'" http://www.irishnews.com/news/2015/07/04/news/nama-adviser-had-concerns-over-property-sale-wall-of-silence--162165/
  4. "Ian Coulter named over disputed fees linked to Nama sale" http://www.irishtimes.com/business/commercial-property/ian-coulter-named-over-disputed-fees-linked-to-nama-sale-1.2273084
  5. "Mick Wallace’s claims prompts calls for thorough PSNI inquiry" http://www.irishtimes.com/business/commercial-property/mick-wallace-s-claims-prompts-calls-for-thorough-psni-inquiry-1.2272788
  6. "Profile: Who are Nama NI appointees named by Wallace?" http://www.irishtimes.com/business/commercial-property/profile-who-are-nama-ni-appointees-named-by-wallace-1.2272609
  7. "Northern venture controversial from the outset: Nama's activity in the North has been plagued by questions" http://www.irishtimes.com/business/commercial-property/northern-venture-controversial-from-the-outset-1.2273900
  8. "Cerberus denies improper payments or fees linked to Nama deal: Private equity firm ‘deeply troubled’ over allegations made in Dáil by Mick Wallace" http://www.irishtimes.com/business/commercial-property/cerberus-denies-improper-payments-or-fees-linked-to-nama-deal-1.2273101
  9. 2006 report on the Cerberus links to a senior US politician: "The congressman & the hedge fund" http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/news/washington/2006-01-19-cerberus-cover_x.htm
  10. And while some of Irish mainstream media is talking about Mick Wallace facing a 'grilling' in the Northern Ireland (e.g. http://www.independent.ie/irish-news/politics/wallace-to-face-grilling-in-north-over-nama-claim-31351195.html), much of the Northern Irish media is talking about investigating his claims: http://www.belfastlive.co.uk/news/belfast-news/psni-urged-probe-claims-belfast-9578876. Which is sort of a big difference in interpreting what is happening: grilling someone suggests they are the wrong-doer, investigating someone's claims suggests looking into the wrongdoing alleged by someone. Get the 'angle'? Back to no comment promise...


Sunday, June 16, 2013

16/6/2013: A Minister in Northern Ireland is Fond of Slaying Dragons

Readers of this blog are aware where I stand on excessively aggressive tax optimisation by some companies that the Irish system permits. There is, however, a major distinction implied by my arguments: Irish system of taxation is fully legal and does not violate other nations' laws. From economics point of view it is a form of tax haven. From legal point of view it is not.

This fine distinction is too often lost on some of this blog's readers, some Irish politicians (not readers of this blog) and, self-evidently after the below, to the Northern Ireland's  Finance Minister.


As reported by BBC (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-22925772) "...Sammy Wilson has accused the Irish government of "stealing" UK tax revenue. The DUP minister said he was concerned companies were using the Republic of Ireland to pay tax which he claims should be paid in the UK. ..."My view is that the British government does have some leverage on the Irish government there, because they have a £7.5bn loan, that is a lot of leverage," he told the BBC programme Sunday Politics."

The terms of the loans conditions from the UK to Ireland are explained here: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financialcrisis/8203912/Key-points-terms-of-UK-loan-to-Ireland.html clearly showing the amount extended to be capped at maximum £3.25 billion (€3.76 billion) - subject to the exchange rate differences.

It might be possible that Minister Wilson was referencing some headline he read somewhere, e.g. http://www.independent.ie/business/irish/uk-slashes-its-interest-rate-on-our-7bn-bailout-loans-26863834.html but even the article headlined with '£7 billion loan' cites in the body of the text correct amount of £3.25 billion.

Another similar headline relates to the orignal estimates of the potential loan, e.g. http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2010/nov/22/ireland-bailout-uk-lends-seven-billion, which was capped less a month after, e.g. http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2010/dec/08/george-osborne-cap-uk-loan-ireland ... at £3.25 billion.

NTMA reports the latest drawdown amounts here: http://www.ntma.ie/business-areas/funding-and-debt-management/euimf-programme/
According to the NTMA, Ireland has drawn down only £2.42 billion worth of UK funds so far.

We are, indeed, thankful to the UK taxpayers for providing these loans and for offering them on terms that reflected broader restructuring of these loans by other lenders.


On Minister Wilson's tax 'theft' charge, per Journal.ie report: "The Republic’s junior finance minister Brian Hayes, speaking on the same programme, said it was up to other countries to change their own tax laws if they wished to stop companies headquartered there from being able to avoid tax."

I often disagree with Minister Hayes on many matters, but on this occasion he is correct.