Showing posts with label Trade in Services. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Trade in Services. Show all posts

Sunday, May 12, 2013

12/5/2013: Open Europe on Trade in Services

A very interesting piece of research from Open Europe thinktank, focusing on the potential economic impact from liberalising services trade within the EU: http://www.openeurope.org.uk/Content/Documents/Pdfs/kickstartinggrowthEUservices.pdf

Here are some highlights:

Chart below shows gains from the full implementation of the rather limited EU Services Directive:

And on to the extension of the EU Directive (notice that Ireland is in the higher benefits group of countries as our exports of services are both growing at the faster rate than EU average and constitute already a higher proportion of total external trade than EU average).

Also, recall that "The Economic Adjustment Programme for Ireland, February 2011 [states]: “Enhanced competition in the services sector modelled in the simulations…translates into a 0.1% increase in employment and a 0.5% increase in GDP over a 10-year period.” “[The Irish] Government will introduce legislative changes to remove restrictions to trade and competition in sheltered sectorsincluding: [the legal profession, medicalservices and the pharmacy
profession]”.



Lastly, comparing the relative significance of trade in services liberalisation to other potential means for boosting economic growth in Europe:


This is the debate that has, unfortunately, stalled in Europe with the onset of the crisis, as did the reforms under the Services Directive.

Tuesday, June 7, 2011

07/06/2011: Irish Trade in Goods & Services

Having completed a new dataset on Irish trade - for both Goods and Services - here's the latest data we have.

Please, note, CSO does not report monthly stats for trade in services, which form a significant share of our exports and influence our trade balance and current account. Instead, CSO's monthly series make a claim about 'trade' without explicitly identifying that this 'trade' only covers goods. That identification, instead is buried in the 'fine print' methodology pages.

Ok, to the numbers. Given the vast size of Irish economy, the latest data on overall trade we have comes from QNA and covers Q4 2010. By the end of Q4 2010:
  • Exports from Ireland stood at €40.073bn, down 1.35% qoq and up 11.67% yoy. Annual increase in Q4 2010 was €4.187bn, making Q4 2010 the highest level of exports in Q4 of any year since 1997.
  • Lowest level of exports during the current cycle (since 2007) was reached in Q3 2009, implying that growth in exports returned in Q4 2009. Highest level of exports were reached in Q 3 2010.
  • Imports stood at €34.546bn, up 8% qoq and 12.99% yoy
  • Trade balance as of the end of Q4 2010 was a positive €5.527bn, down 35.98% qoq and up 4.05% yoy (+€215mln).
  • Ireland's quarterly trade balance bottomed out in Q1 2008 and grew since then, peaking at €8.633bn in Q3 2010.
Charts below illustrate: