20/6/15: Keep Faith in Ireland's Energy Regulator

So remember the promise of CER-driven regulatory pricing of energy in Ireland? It went something like: we set high tariffs to encourage competition which will lower prices in the long run.

The problem is: the long run never arrives, while prices remain set sky high, effectively extracting cash out households to sustain huge pay perks in the energy sector and massive white elephant investment schemes by dominant players in the markets.

Want evidence - take Eurostat data (http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/documents/2995521/6849826/8-27052015-AP-EN.pdf/):

Our 'independent' regulation model means that state-owned quasi-monopolies are fleecing consumers at the rate of pricing that is the highest in the EU. Lower incidence of energy-linked taxes and levies results in total end price to consumer being the third highest in the EU. But in terms of what producers collect - it is the highest. Say 'cheers' next time you pass by the surreal 'charging' stations that ESB erected around Dublin for imaginary electric cars. They are paid for by you and me. Say 'thanks' next time you hear that ESB average salaries are in excess of EUR80K/pa - they too are paid by you and me.

That is some achievement of our 'independent' regulator. The same one who is now regulating Irish Water that promises, again in the proverbial long run, to deliver better services at better cost.

Have faith and keep paying!

1/11/2014: IAE Raises Concerns with Irish Energy Policy Framework

Here is an interesting study published by the Irish Academy of Engineering in response to the Government Green Paper on energy: http://www.iae.ie/publications/publication/iae-response-to-green-paper-on-energy/.

To put matters into context IAE notes elsewhere that:

• Since 2007 energy prices in Ireland have risen by 29% in real terms compared with an  average rise of 20% in OECD countries.
• Between 2010 and 2013 Ireland’s electricity and gas prices rose between 5% and 15% more than the EU-28 average.
• Household electricity prices have increased by approximately 30% in the last 3 years.
• Household electricity prices in the Republic are 33% higher than in the UK. Industrial electricity prices are ca 12% higher than the UK and the EU-28 average (ex VAT)

According to IAE, at least in part, the above price distortions are accounted for by the wind generation policies.

Summarising the above document, IAE said that "Continuing with the existing policy and related conditions is likely to have adverse economic consequences. Commitments entered into in 2007 relating to the amount of renewable generation on the Republic’s electricity system ...could lead to the addition during the next decade of more than 3,000MW of Windpower onto a system that has already excess capacity.  Approximately 1,000MW of existing gas or coal fired power plants would be displaced with the following consequences:

• At current price differentials it would add €200 million to the annual cost of electricity.
• It would involve additional capital expenditure of between €1 - €2 billion to integrate this level of Windpower into the grid. (The entire Exchequer capital program for 2014 is €3.3 billion)."

I am not an energy or environmental economist to make an in-depth observations on technology and its economic efficiency, but it is clear that Irish energy policies to-date

1. Have been actively focused on renewables generation at the expense of consumers; and
2. Resulted in one of the most expensive energy generation and supply systems in the advanced world.

All of which suggests that our continued pursuit of increasing wind generation investments should be put to a rigorous and public scrutiny.

22/5/2014: Irish Domestic Energy Prices

As you all know, I have been covering the state of affairs when it comes to the state-sanctioned inflation here in Ireland for some time - including in the pages of my now defunct column at the Sunday Times.

Here is the article from the Irish Independent on energy price inflation in Ireland, comparative to the EU: http://www.independent.ie/irish-news/electricity-prices-fourth-highest-in-eu-after-5pc-rise-30294653.html

And the original EU data: http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/ITY_PUBLIC/8-21052014-AP/EN/8-21052014-AP-EN.PDF

Still believe in the benevolence of the State? Or that Irish Government should be running gas & oil resources of this country? Really?

18/07/2011: Two charts on electricity prices

Another look at the residential and industrial prices for electricity across EU27 + 3 (Norway, Turkey and Bosnia candidate states). All information within the charts.

15/07/2011: Irish electricity prices and subsidies

Some interesting data on electricity prices within the EU - the latest is now available from the Eurostat, covering H2 2010. Keep in mind, between 2008 and 2010 we have experienced the largest deflation of overall consumer prices in the Euro area.

In terms of household prices for electricity, 2010 H2 price in Ireland was €0.1875/kWh up on €0.1855/kWh in H2 2009 and down from €0.2033/kWh in H2 2008. Back in H2 2008, Ireland ranked as the 6th most expensive electricity market for households in EU27, plus Norway, Turkey, and Bosnia & Herzegovina (let's call these EU27+3 for brevity hereinafter). The ranking improved to 7th most expensive in H2 2009 and to 9th in H2 2010. Chart below (arranged in order of increasing cost for H2 2010) illustrates.
Small, but progress: over 2 years overall decline was 7.8% in average prices.

Next, the cost of electricity for industrial users: In H2 2010 Irish electricity prices for industrial users averaged €0.1131/kWh down from €0.1419/kWh in H2 2008 and down on €0.1175/kWh in H2 2009. So the decline in the industrial electricity prices over the same period of time was almost 3times larger than for households - 20.3%.
Why? One reason - taxes. Our Government, incapable of creating a level playing field for investment and entrepreneurship has made a conscious choice to shift tax burden from the shoulders of producers/employers onto the shoulders of employees/households. Hence, as with income tax and other taxes, business taxes are kept lower for electricity than for households.

Before taxes are added, Irish household electricity cost was 0.1629 in H2 2010, which was 44.9% above the comparable pre-tax price for industrial users. Now, suppose this premium was justified by higher transmission costs to the households. And do note that Ireland and France are the only two countries that do not report break down of final prices by generation and transmission. For all other countries, network transmission costs account for about 42.15% on average of the total pre-tax price of household electricity in H2 2010. But here comes a tricky thing. After taxes are factored in, final price premium for electricity paid by households over and above industrial users rises to 65.8%.

What's the 20.85% tax wedge on the premium about? Most likely - a subsidy from the households to industrial users, cause, you know, to be competitive we have to charge someone to subsidise someone else... Although the subsidy is a sort of Pyrrhic victory, you see, since even with this transfer, Irish industrial users face the 6th highest electricity tariff in the EU27+3 in H2 2010, same as in H2 2009, but an improvement on the 4th highest in H2 2008.

Let us say thank you to the Social Partners and CER who work this hard protecting our consumers' interests.