Thursday, April 16, 2020

16/4/20: Four Weeks of True Unemployment Numbers: #Covid19

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The U.S. has added 5.245 million more unemployment claims in the week ending April 11, 2020, with additional 9,000 claims added to the Apr...
Tuesday, April 14, 2020

14/4/20: Re-Opening America: A Long Road Ahead

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In our Financial Systems class, yesterday, we were discussing the potential trajectories for 'exit' from COVID19 restriction and e...
Monday, April 13, 2020

13/4/20: Four Weeks of Unemployment Spikes: U.S. Jobs Losses in #Covid19

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COVID-19 social toll: according to Deutsche Bank Research, since the end of the 2008-2009 Great Recession through mid-March 2020, the U.S....
Saturday, April 11, 2020

11/4/20: Covid19 vs Seasonal Deaths: End of an Argument

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A large number of social media pontificators have been making various claims that COVID-19 pandemic is in some ways related to the seasona...
Thursday, April 9, 2020

9/4/20: Updated: US vs EU28 Covid Cases and Deaths

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US vs EU28 Covid cases and deaths update: Note 1: adjusting for the onset of the Covid cases, US is lagging EU by 7 days.  Note 2: A...

9/4/20: Ifo Eurozone Forecast Q1-Q3 2020: Covid19 Impacts

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Germany's ifo Institute joint forecasts for Eurozone growth are out today. Bleak reading. The forecasts below assume that Covid-19 res...
Wednesday, April 8, 2020

8/4/20: Ifo Institute Germany Forecast for 2020

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A surprisingly 'positive' forecast for Germany from ifo Institute this morning: While GDP contraction for 2020 looks sharp a...
Tuesday, April 7, 2020

6/4/20: Mexican and Canadian Perceptions of the U.S.: Leadership With a Negative Exponent

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Here is an extraordinary snapshot of Canadian and Mexican perceptions of the U.S. via Pew Research:  https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank...
Sunday, April 5, 2020

5/4/20: US vs EU Coronavirus Update

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Here is a visual comparing incidences of (officially reported) and deaths from (officially reported) Novel Coronavirus 2019 or Covid-19 in...

5/4/20: Effective Corporate Tax Rates in the U.S.: 1980-2019

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Evolution of effective corporate tax rates in the U.S. from 1980 through 2019: Source: Yardeni Research, with my annotations Effecti...
Thursday, April 2, 2020

2/4/20: US Record in Covid Response To-Date

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Much of the rhetoric coming out of the Washington on COVID19 pandemic is centred around the claims that the U.S. response to the pandemic ...

2/4/20: COVID19 in three charts

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#COVID2019 economy in three pics: U.S. unemployment claims, week 2 of filings: Irish unemployment claims, first month of filings: ...