Sunday, July 19, 2020

19/7/20: COVID19 Update: Worldwide Cases and Deaths


News flow from the Land of the Dumb and Dumber:


Global charts:

Cases:

Week-to-date, new daily case numbers have ranked within top 10 in history of the series in five days, including three all-time highs set within the last five days. The trend is still to the upside despite usual under-reporting of new cases associated with weekend data.

Deaths:

COVIDIOTS special alert: deaths numbers are not falling. Since the start of July, earlier shallow contraction in daily new deaths counts has been reversed to a 3-5% increase. In the last 10 days, deaths increased on average at 5.93% daily, reversing the negative rates of growth between June 26 and July 7. The rate of increase in daily deaths counts is trending up.

Trends in growth rates:

Another COVIDIOTS special alert: New daily cases growth rates and new daily deaths growth rates are now positive. New deaths counts growth rates have been trending, with some volatility, around 3% average since the end of May 2020. In the last 10 days, deaths increased on average at 5.93% daily, reversing the negative rates of growth between June 26 and July 7.

Both sets of data now indicate risk of a re-acceleration of the pandemic since the end of April troughs.

Summary tables of largest cases, countries with > 25,000 cases (note Japan & Kyrgyzstan are close to 25,000 to breach the bound within 1-2 days):





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