Showing posts with label Euro. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Euro. Show all posts
Sunday, February 7, 2021

6/2/21: Longer Trends in Economic Uncertainty

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  Quite dramatic trends in terms of rising economic uncertainty over the last 21 years: And, not surprisingly, the rise of uncertainty in Eu...
Tuesday, August 25, 2020

25/8/20: Germany's Economic Recovery: ifo Survey

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ifo Institute's latest economic barometer for Germany is showing continued signs of recovery in the German economy, with remaining press...
Friday, July 3, 2020

3/7/20: ECB Jumping the Proverbial Shark?

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ECB's money-printing press has been running overtime these weeks. So let's put the Euro area central banks' monetary policy sh...
Monday, June 29, 2020

29/6/20: Eurocoin Growth Indicator June 2020

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Using the latest Eurocoin leading growth indicator for the Euro area, we can position the current COVID19 pandemic-related recession in hi...
Wednesday, June 24, 2020

24/6/20: German Business Sentiment for June: Mixed Signs of the Ongoing Recovery

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Germany's ifo Institute published June survey results for business confidence, reflecting the latest changes arising from the graduate...
Friday, June 12, 2020

12/6/20: Summary of the Eurosystem Response Measures to COVID19

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Great and tight summary of the Eurosystem monetary policies deployed in response to COVID19 pandemic:  https://blocnotesdeleco.banque-fran...
Tuesday, May 26, 2020

26/5/20: Franco-German Eurobonds: A First Step on the Road to Federalism

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My recent article on the Franco-German proposal for Euro bonds for The Currency :  https://www.thecurrency.news/articles/17392/france-and-g...
Wednesday, May 6, 2020

6/5/20: Eurozone Composite PMI: Covid Horror Show

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Final Eurozone Composite Output Index came in at 13.6 (Flash: 13.5, against March Final: 29.7). March was bad. April is worse. Final Euroz...
Friday, April 24, 2020

24/4/20: "Sentiment at German companies is catastrophic" ifo Institute

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ifo Institute's German business sentiment barometer out today. Direct quote: "Sentiment at German companies is catastrophic. The ...
Wednesday, April 22, 2020

22/4/20: Eurozone Growth Forecasts

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April data on analysts and institutional forecasts for Eurozone growth over 22 sources, including a range of investment banks and internat...
Tuesday, January 7, 2020

7/1/20: Euromoney on 2020 Risk Outlook for the Eurozone

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Euromoney on Eurozone risks into 2020, with some comments from me: https://www.euromoney.com/article/b1js9nd289vtm9/country-risk...
Tuesday, December 10, 2019

10/12/19: Irish Banks: Part 2

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Continuing with the coverage of the Irish banks, in the second article for The Currency , available here:  https://www.thecurrency.news/ar...

10/12/19: Irish Banks: Part 1

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Returning back to the blog after a break, some updates on recent published work. In the first article on Irish banking for The Currency,...
Wednesday, October 16, 2019

16/10/19: Ireland and the Global Trade Wars

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My first column for The Currency  covering "Ireland, global trade wars and economic growth: Why Ireland’s economic future needs to be...
Tuesday, August 20, 2019

20/8/19: Public Spending in the Euro Area: Post-Crisis Austerity?

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Given the never-ending repetition of the 'austerity narrative' in European economic analysis, it is virtually impossible to conclu...
Tuesday, July 16, 2019

16/7/19: Corporate Yields are Heading South in the Euro Land

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Some of the euro area's junk-rated corporate debt is now trading at negative yields, and over 15% of near-junk debt is also charging t...
Sunday, June 30, 2019

29/6/19: Why Moody’s is wrong to keep Cyprus on junk status

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Euromoney on Cypriot economy: "Why Moody’s is wrong to keep Cyprus on junk status"  https://www.euromoney.com/article/b1g125jl1w...
Wednesday, June 12, 2019

12/6/19: All's Well in the Euro Paradise

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All is well in the Euro [economy] Paradise... Via @FT, Germany's latest 10 year bunds auction got off a great start as "the ...
Tuesday, May 14, 2019

14/5/19: Monetary Policy at the edge of QE

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My new column for the Cayman Financial Review  on the current twists in global Monetary Policies is now available on line:  https://www.ca...
Friday, February 15, 2019

15/2/19: Euro area is sliding toward recession

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Based on the latest data through January 2019, Eurozone’s economic problems are getting worse. In 4Q 2018, Euro area posted real GDP growt...