Showing posts with label Euro area growth. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Euro area growth. Show all posts
Saturday, July 4, 2020

4/7/20: ifo Institute Eurozone Growth Outlook

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Germany's ifo Institute issued a new growth outlook for Eurozone economy: "Overall, the eurozone economy is likely to see a sh...
Monday, June 29, 2020

29/6/20: Eurocoin Growth Indicator June 2020

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Using the latest Eurocoin leading growth indicator for the Euro area, we can position the current COVID19 pandemic-related recession in hi...
Wednesday, June 12, 2019

12/6/19: All's Well in the Euro Paradise

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All is well in the Euro [economy] Paradise... Via @FT, Germany's latest 10 year bunds auction got off a great start as "the ...
Friday, February 15, 2019

15/2/19: Euro area is sliding toward recession

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Based on the latest data through January 2019, Eurozone’s economic problems are getting worse. In 4Q 2018, Euro area posted real GDP growt...
Tuesday, February 5, 2019

5/2/19: The Myth of the Euro: Economic Convergence

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The last eight years of Euro's 20 years in existence have been a disaster for the thesis of economic convergence - the idea that the c...
Tuesday, May 15, 2018

15/5/18: Beware of the Myth of Europe's Renaissance

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My article for last Sunday's Business Post  on why the Euro area growth Renaissance is more of a fizzle than a sizzle, and what Irelan...
Tuesday, January 23, 2018

22/1/18: Interest Rates, Demographics and Secular Stagnation: Euro Area 2018-2025

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An interesting recent paper from ECB on the link between monetary policy (interest rates) and secular stagnation. Ferrero, Giuseppe and Gr...
Friday, September 29, 2017

29/9/17: Eurocoin: Eurozone growth is still on the upside trend

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The latest data from Eurocoin - an early growth indicator published by Banca d’Italia and CEPR - shows robust continued growth dynamics ...
Wednesday, May 24, 2017

23/5/17: Eurocoin: Growth Momentum Slips Marginally in April

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A quick update to the old-running series: Eurocoin, the leading economic growth indicator for the euro area, published by CEPR and Banca d...
Tuesday, April 11, 2017

11/4/17: Euro Area Growth Conditions Remain Robust in 1Q 17

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Eurocoin, Banca d'Italia and CEPR's leading indicator of economic growth in the euro area has slipped in March to 0.72 from 0.75 i...
Saturday, February 25, 2017

25/2/17: Eurocoin February 2017: Another Acceleration in Growth

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A quick update on Eurocoin, the lead indicator for economic growth in the Euro area. In February, Eurocoin rose from 0.68 in January to 0....
Friday, January 27, 2017

27/1/17: Eurocoin Signals Accelerating Growth in January

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Eurocoin, leading growth indicator for euro area growth published by Banca d'Italia and CEPR has risen to 0.69 in January 2017 from 0....
Tuesday, January 3, 2017

3/1/17: Euro growth greets 2017 with a bit of a bang

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December marked another month of rising economic activity indicator for the euro area. Eurocoin, a leading growth indicator published by B...
Saturday, November 12, 2016

11/11/2016: Europe's 'Convincing' Recovery

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Europe's strong, convincing, systemic recovery ... the meme of the European leaders from Ireland all the way across to the Baltics, an...
Sunday, May 15, 2016

15/5/16: Don't Rush the Cheers for Eurozone Growth, Yet

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Remember record-busting 0.6% preliminary flash estimate of the first estimate GDP growth figure for Euro area released back in April? Well...
Thursday, May 5, 2016

5/5/16: Eurocoin signals significant euro area growth slowdown in April

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Updating time series analysis for Eurocoin, a leading growth indicator for the Euro area economy issued by CEPR and Banca d’Italia. In A...
Sunday, February 14, 2016

14/2/16: Ifo WorldEconomic Climate Index: 1Q 2016

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Global growth leading indicators are screaming it, Baltic Dry Index is screaming it, PMIs are screaming it, BRICS are living it, and now I...
Friday, February 5, 2016

5/2/16: Ifo Economic Climate Index for Euro area: 1Q 2016

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Ifo Economic Climate Index in the Euro Area has posted another contraction at the start of 1Q 2016 marking the third consecutive quarter o...
Tuesday, January 19, 2016

19/1/16: After the crisis: Is there light at the end of the euro tunnel?

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Here is my recent column for Cayman Financial Review  covering the prospects for growth in the Euro area and the structural problems relat...
Monday, January 4, 2016

4/1/16: Eurocoin signals flat 4Q 2015 growth in the Euro area

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Euro area leading growth indicator Eurocoin, released by Banca d'Italia and CEPR, posted a reading of 0.45 in December, marking a rise ...