10/7/20: COVID19 Update: World Cases and Deaths

Updating COVID19 data through today's ECDC release:

Worldwide, new cases are at a historic high of 227,756, reaching above 200K in three days in a row. In the last 7 days, we have had highest, second and third highest daily counts on record. This is despite the fact that testing remains spotty in higher growth geographies (emerging and developing economies). The trend is accelerating, as well (see last chart, blue line).

Deaths:

 In the last seven days, we had three days with daily deaths counts ranked in top 50 overall. The trend remains elevated, but relatively steady. As the chart below shows (orange line), rates of growth in daily deaths are now positive, once again:

The above presents a serious problem to the idea of opening international travel. Simple 'exclusion' or 'quarantine' rules applied to countries that remain hot spots of COVID19 pandemic are not sufficient to prevent pandemic growth re-accelerating in the countries which managed to significantly depress the curve, as international travellers can use different entry points relative to their point of origin.