True Economics

True Economics is about original economic ideas and analysis concerning everyday events, news, policy views and their impact on the markets and you. Enjoy and engage!

Sunday, September 29, 2019

29/9/19: Divided ECB

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Divided they stand... Source:  https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-09-29/lagarde-inherits-ecb-tinged-by-bitterness-of-draghi-...
Saturday, September 28, 2019

28/9/19: Evidence of Systemic Risk from Major Cybersecurity Breaches

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In our post for Columbia Law School's CLS Blue Sky Blog, myself and Shaen Corbet explain in non-technical terms our ground-breaking fi...
Monday, September 23, 2019

23/9/19: Corporate Finance in a Chart

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The glut of debt and the unbearable lightness of corporate leverage:
Saturday, September 21, 2019

20/9/19: New paper: Systematic risk contagion from cyber events

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Our new paper, "What the hack: Systematic risk contagion from cyber events" is now available at International Review of Financia...
Friday, September 20, 2019

20/9/19: New paper on Cryptos pricing

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Our paper " Fractal dynamics and wavelet analysis: Deep volatility and return properties of Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple " is no...
Monday, September 9, 2019

9/9/19: Ireland and OECD: Income Tax Rates Comparatives

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Based on the OECD data for 2018, Ireland is the second worst OECD country to earn income from work at the upper margin of earnings (167% o...
Friday, September 6, 2019

6/9/19: Small Cap Stocks EPS: racing to the bottom of the MAGA barrel

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Everything is going just plain swimmingly in the Land of MAGA, where American companies are now expected to do their duty by President Tru...
Monday, September 2, 2019

2/9/19: Trump's Tariffs of War...

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Two charts summarizing the effects of the ongoing Trump Trade War on U.S. tariffs (overall, first chart) and on bilateral U.S.-China trade...

2/9/19: One view of Austerity

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A picture is worth a thousand words, some say. So here is a picture of austerity we've had (allegedly) in recent decades: Source:...
Sunday, September 1, 2019

1/9/19: U.S. Non-Financial Corporate Sector: Stagnation in Net Value Added

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Value added by the U.S. non-financial corporates has been languishing well below the cyclical peak for some months now: In fact, since...

1/9/19: Priming the Bubble Pump: Extreme Credit Accommodation in the U.S.

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Using Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Credit Subindex (weekly, not seasonally adjusted data), I have plotted credit conditions m...
Monday, August 26, 2019

26/8/19: ifo Survey Shows Increasing Business Concerns in Germany

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Ifo Institute's Business Climate indicator for Germany is falling off the cliff: In simple terms, current business situation asse...
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