True Economics

True Economics is about original economic ideas and analysis concerning everyday events, news, policy views and their impact on the markets and you. Enjoy and engage!

Monday, August 19, 2019

18/8/19: Migration Policy vs the Law of Unintended Consequences

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President Trump's policies are a rich field for sowing evidence on the application of the law of unintended consequence in economic po...
Friday, August 16, 2019

16/8/19: Post-Millennials and the falling trust in institutions of coercion

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A neat chart from Pew Research highlighting shifting demographics behind the changing trends in the U.S. public trust in core institutions...

16/8/19: U.S. Military Presence Worldwide

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Generally, I do not find Politico to be a great source for geopolitical analysis and data, but here is one exception - a handy map of U.S....
Thursday, August 15, 2019

15/8/19: Winning Trade Wars: Round 3

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A couple of days ago, Germany's info Institute published two scenarios estimating the impacts of the latest President Trump threats to...
Tuesday, August 13, 2019

12/8/19: OECD Tax Plans: Some Bad News

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My column for the Cayman Financial Review  covering OECD latest tax reforms proposals:  https://www.caymanfinancialreview.com/2019/08/02/o...

12/8/19: Russian Markets Risk Assessments 2Q 2019

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Euromoney on Russian markets risk performance in 2Q 2019 with comments from myself and others:  https://www.euromoney.com/article/b1g9cyp...
Saturday, August 10, 2019

10/8/19: Irish Debt Sustainability Miracle(s): ECB and MNCs

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As a part of yesterday's discussion about the successes of Irish economic policies since the end of the Eurozone crisis, I posted on T...
Thursday, August 8, 2019

8/8/19: Irish New Housing Markets Continue to Underperform

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New stats for new dwelling completions in Ireland are out today and the reading press releases on the subject starts sounding like things ...

8/8/19: Upbeat Jobs Reports Miss Some Real Points

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Unemployment claims down, the weekly jobs report seemed to have triggered the usual litany of positive commentary in the business media ...
Tuesday, August 6, 2019

6/8/19: El Paso and Dayton mark 2019 as the worst year for mass shooting violence in America on record

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In the wake of the extremely sad events of the last two weeks, it took me some time to run through the data from the https://www.gunviolen...
Thursday, August 1, 2019

1/8/19: Wages vs GDP growth: when economic growth stops benefiting workers

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I have posted earlier some data on the gap between real GDP and real disposable income per capita in the U.S. (see here:  https://trueecon...

1/9/19: 'Losin Spectacularly': Trump Trade Wars and net exports

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U.S. net exports of goods and services are in a tailspin and Trump Trade Wars have been anything but 'winning' for American export...
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