True Economics

True Economics is about original economic ideas and analysis concerning everyday events, news, policy views and their impact on the markets and you. Enjoy and engage!

Tuesday, April 30, 2019

30/4/19: Journal of Financial Transformation paper on cryptocurrencies pricing

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Our paper with O’Loughlin, Daniel and Chlebowski, Bartosz, titled "Behavioral Basis of Cryptocurrencies Markets: Examining Effects of...
Tuesday, April 23, 2019

23/4/19: Income per Capita and Middle Class

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New research reported by the Deutsche Bank Research shows that, on average, there is a positive (albeit non-linear) relationship between t...

23/4/19: Property, Property and More Property: U.S. Household Wealth Bubble

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According to the St. Luis Fed, U.S. household wealth has reached a historical high of 535% of the U.S. GDP (see:  https://www.zerohedge.co...
Monday, April 22, 2019

22/4/19: At the end of QE line... there is nothing but QE left...

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Monetary policy 'normalization' is over, folks. The idea that the Central Banks can end - cautiously or not - the spread of negati...
Monday, April 15, 2019

15/4/19: One order of "Bull & Sh*t" for the U.S. Labor Market, please

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The 'strongest economy, ever'... Despite a decade-long experiment with record-low interest rates, despite trillions of dollar...
Wednesday, April 10, 2019

10/4/19: Rewarding Reckless Risk Pricing, Again

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Markets are supposed to be efficient. At least, on the timeline that allows to price in probabilistically plausible valuations of the firm...

10/4/19: Russian Foreign Exchange Reserves and External Debt

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As recently posted by me on Twitter, here are three charts showing the evolution of Russian foreign reserves and external debt: Rememb...

10/4/19: How US Tax Inversions Affect Shareholder Wealth

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Our article on how corporate tax inversions impact shareholders' wealth is now available on Columbia Law School blog:  http://clsblues...
Saturday, April 6, 2019

6/4/19: Industrial Production and Global Trade are Tanking

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The great convergence of simultaneously declining global trade flows and industrial production: Via topdowncharts.com The trend is a...

6/4/19: Student Loans: The Bubble Is Still Inflating

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A neat chart from Bloomberg summarizing the plight of student debt overhang in the U.S. economy: In effect, education is the most lev...

6/4/19: BRIC Services Lead, Manufacturing Lag Global Growth Momentum

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I have blogged recently on BRIC and global PMIs for manufacturing and services , covering the data for 1Q 2019, as well as monthly PMIs f...

6/4/19: U.S. Tax Compliance Costs and Lobbying

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Not a fan of The Atlantic  on a range of topics, especially geo-politics, but a great write up on the relationship between tax accounting ...
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