True Economics

True Economics is about original economic ideas and analysis concerning everyday events, news, policy views and their impact on the markets and you. Enjoy and engage!

Sunday, March 31, 2019

30/3/19: The Art of Trade Fudge: USMCA

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Much-lauded Trump's Nafta 2.0, officially known as the United States – Mexico – Canada Agreement (USMCA) came to being on November 30,...
Tuesday, March 12, 2019

12/3/19: S&P500 Concentration Risk over 10 years

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More on increasing concentration risks in the U.S. equity markets: Goldman Sachs estimates that almost 1/4 of total return to S&P500 ov...
Sunday, March 10, 2019

10/3/19: Irish Residential Construction Sector 2018: A New 'Recovery' Low

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It has been an ugly decade for Ireland's building and construction industry. especially for housing. Following a historically massive ...
Wednesday, March 6, 2019

6/3/19: Expectations Sand Castles and Investors

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As raging buybacks of shares and M&As have dropped the free float available in the markets over the recent years, Earnings per Share (...
Monday, March 4, 2019

4/3/19: BRIC Manufacturing PMI: January-February Trend

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In January-February 2019, Global manufacturing PMI sunk to its lowest reading since 2Q 2016 averaging 50.7 over the first two months of th...

4/3/19: S&P 500 Share Price Support Scams are a Raging Trend

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Having posted a record-breaking USD939 billion of shares repurchases in 2018, Corporate America is on track to set a new record-wrecking y...
Friday, March 1, 2019

1/3/19: U.S. PMI is not at a Crisis levels

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My take on today's ISM for Manufacturing data here:  https://twitter.com/GTCost/status/1101512164584546304 , with charts: Chill-ax ...

1/3/19: Australia is the New Ireland: How Property Hype Inflates Financial Bubbles

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Australia - a country with the biggest property bubble of all times and of all countries - is retracing the exact mis-governance steps as ...
Monday, February 25, 2019

25/2/19: Europe's TBTF Banks are only Bigger-to-Fail...

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Since the start of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and through subsequent Euro area crises, the EU frameworks for reforming financial se...

24/2/19: Eurozone's Corporate Yields are not quite in a crisis territory... yet...

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Euro area high yield corporate credit rates are under pressure to continue moving: But they are far from being dramatic, even though ...
Sunday, February 24, 2019

24/2/19: Europe of Divergence: Euro and the Crisis Aftermath

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A promise of economic convergence was one of the core reasons behind the creation of the Euro. At no time in the Euro area history has thi...

24/2/19: Buybacks vs Capex

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U.S. corporates spending or 'investing' over the last 10 years: CapEx ($6.4T), including often non-productive M&As Buyback...
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