True Economics

True Economics is about original economic ideas and analysis concerning everyday events, news, policy views and their impact on the markets and you. Enjoy and engage!

Monday, February 25, 2019

25/2/19: Europe's TBTF Banks are only Bigger-to-Fail...

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Since the start of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and through subsequent Euro area crises, the EU frameworks for reforming financial se...

24/2/19: Eurozone's Corporate Yields are not quite in a crisis territory... yet...

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Euro area high yield corporate credit rates are under pressure to continue moving: But they are far from being dramatic, even though ...
Sunday, February 24, 2019

24/2/19: Europe of Divergence: Euro and the Crisis Aftermath

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A promise of economic convergence was one of the core reasons behind the creation of the Euro. At no time in the Euro area history has thi...

24/2/19: Buybacks vs Capex

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U.S. corporates spending or 'investing' over the last 10 years: CapEx ($6.4T), including often non-productive M&As Buyback...
Friday, February 22, 2019

22/2/19: Deutsche Bank's New Old Losses: When a Candy Bites Back

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Our good old friends at @DeutscheBankAG have been at it again... this time (h/t to @macromon) raking in $1.6 billion of freshly announced ...
Wednesday, February 20, 2019

20/2/19: Crack and Opioids of Corporate Finance

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More addictive than crack or opioids, corporate debt is the sand-castle town's equivalent of water: it holds the 'marvels of castl...

20/2/19: Broader Measures of Irish Unemployment 4Q 2018

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The latest Labour Force Survey for 4Q 2018 for Ireland, published by CSO, shows some decent employment increases over 2018, and a welcomed...
Monday, February 18, 2019

18/2/19: U.S. Treasuries: Not Finding Much Love in Foreign Lands

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In recent months, I have been warning about the cliff of new bonds issuance that is coming for the U.S. Treasuries in 2019, pressured by t...
Saturday, February 16, 2019

16/2/19: Deep Crises: past, present, future?

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Venezuela's economic (and political, social, public, etc) woes have been documented with exhaustion, although no one so far has produc...

16/2/19: Trump-o-rama taking a dip?

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Summarizing the U.S. economic 'themes' of the last 21 years: or put differently: 13 years of 'ugly', 8 years of '...
Friday, February 15, 2019

15/2/19: Still Drowning in Love [for Debt]...

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Debt... Sovereign debt... and Valentines... A decade post-GFC, we are still shedding love to our overly-indebted sovereigns... so not...

15/2/19: Nothing to Worry About for those Fiscally Conservative Republicans

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H/T to @soberlook: U.S. Federal deficit was up $192 billion y/y in December 2018. Nothing to worry about, as fiscal prudence has been ...
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