True Economics

True Economics is about original economic ideas and analysis concerning everyday events, news, policy views and their impact on the markets and you. Enjoy and engage!

Sunday, December 30, 2018

29/12/18: It pains me to no end to see America being reduced to this...

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I am not a psychologist or psychiatrist. I am not even a sociologist. So my comments below are based simply on my observations as a human ...
Saturday, December 29, 2018

29/12/18: Vultures, Prime Ministers and the Mud of 'Values' in Newtonian Finance

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In a recent conversation with the Irish Times ( https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/leo-varadkar-defends-vulture-funds-and-criticises...
Friday, December 28, 2018

28/12/18: BTCD is neither a hedge nor a safe haven for stocks

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A quick - and dirty - run through the argument that Bitcoin serves as a hedge or a safe haven for stocks. This argument has been popular i...

27/12/18: Mr. Draghi's Santa: Ending QE, Frankfurt Style

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It's Christmas time, and - Merry / Happy Christmas to all reading the blog - Mr. Draghi is intent on delivering a handful of new prese...
Saturday, December 22, 2018

22/12/18: Millennials and Buffetts: It’s a VUCA Investment World

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My August 2018 Economic Outlook  for Manning Financial: What unites Warren Buffett, Apple and the financially distressed generation of t...

22/12/18: Chile on course for a higher credit rating

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My recent comment on improving credit conditions in the case of Chile via Euromoney: https://www.euromoney.com/article/b1by3mb0pskp43/chil...
Wednesday, December 19, 2018

19/12/18: Assets with Negative Returns: 1901-present

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Highlighting the evidence presented in the earlier-linked article, here is the chart based on data from the Deutsche Bank Research team, s...

19/12/18: From Goldilocks to Humpty-Dumpty Markets

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As noted in the post above, I am covering the recent volatility and uncertainty in the financial markets for the Sunday Business Post  :  ...

19/12/18: Debt-Debt-Baby: BBB-rated & lower 'bump'

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Gradual deterioration in the quality of corporate debt traded in the markets has been quite spectacular over 2018: The above chart sho...

19/12/18: Ten Years of True Economics

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Just a quick note to say that yesterday, True Economics  celebrated its tenth anniversary.  It has been a long walk without a destination....

19/12/18: Schroders' Lloyds deal signals more bank-asset manager tie-ups

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My comment on consolidation in asset management industry and the Schroders' Lloyds deal via S&P Global Market Intelligence :  http...
Saturday, December 8, 2018

8/12/18: Back to the 1950s: Tracing Out 25 Years of the Credit Bubble

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While the current cycle of declining interest rates has been running for at least 25 years, the most recent iteration of the period has be...
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