True Economics

True Economics is about original economic ideas and analysis concerning everyday events, news, policy views and their impact on the markets and you. Enjoy and engage!

Friday, September 28, 2018

28/9/18: 10th Anniversary of the Irish Banking Crisis

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Yahoo Finance's Edmund Heaphy on 10th Anniversary of the Irish Bank Guarantee:  https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/destructive-goal-dec...
Tuesday, September 18, 2018

18/9/18: Extreme Concentration Risk: Bitcoin's VUCA Bomb

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I wrote before both, about the general problem of concentration risk and the specific problem of this risk (more accurately, the concentra...
Thursday, September 13, 2018

13/9/18: Shares Buybacks Swallow much of Trump's Corporate Tax 'Reforms'

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A recent post from the U.S. Fed looked at how companies with large holdings of cash abroad have used those funds following the Tax Cuts an...

13/9/18: Concentration Risk: IPOs, New Firms Arrivals & Super Stars

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One of my favourite long-run tail risks to watch in the financial markets (and indeed, due to ongoing monopolisation trends, in the entire...
Tuesday, September 11, 2018

11/9/18: Slow Recoveries & Unemployment Traps: Hysteresis and/or Secular Stagnation

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The twin secular stagnations hypothesis (TSSH, first postulated on this blog) that combines supply-side (technological cyclicality) and de...
Sunday, September 9, 2018

9/9/18: Dershowitz's New Doctrine in Law

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Another tweet, different topic: my brief musings on the Harvard Law's Alan Dershowitz's recent invention of new doctrine in law: ...

9/9/18: IMF and Argentina: New Old Saga

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My Twitter comments on Argentina and IMF rescue package were picked up by the folks at ZeroHedge   https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-08-...

9/9/18: The end of the clam before the storm

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My article on the shifting landscape for monetary policies: U.S. and Euro area for Sunday Business Post   https://www.businesspost.ie/busi...

9/9/2018: Corporate Power, Charity, and Social & Policy Impacts

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In an important discussion, titled "Tax-exempt lobbying: Corporate philanthropy as a tool for political influence", Marianne Ber...

9/9/18: Populism, Middle Class and Asset Bubbles

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The range of total returns (unadjusted for differential FX rates) for some key assets categories since 2009 via Goldman Sachs Research: ...
Monday, September 3, 2018

3/9/18: Bakkt: One New Exchange, Two Old Exchanges, Same Crypto Story?

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My comment on the new #cryptocurrency exchange project involving Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), Micr...
Friday, August 24, 2018

24/8/18: Moscow's Fiscal Resilience in the Headwinds

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Back in September 2017, Fitch (with Russia rating BBB-) estimated that the U.S. sanctions were costing Russia ‘one notch’ in terms of sove...
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