True Economics

True Economics is about original economic ideas and analysis concerning everyday events, news, policy views and their impact on the markets and you. Enjoy and engage!

Saturday, June 30, 2018

30/6/18: U.S. incarceration statistics and American Exceptionalism

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The U.S. figures prominently in the world of horrific stats, as do many other countries. Perhaps the most significant difference between t...
Friday, June 29, 2018

29/6/18: Multilateralism and the Impossible Policy Trilemmas

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"Global governance requires rules, because flexibility and goodwill alone cannot tackle the hardest shared problems. With multilatera...

29/6/18: Can, Foot, Road: EU 'Agreement' on Migration Crisis

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The EU27 have a new 'deal'. This time, on revamping the block's migration strategies in the face of continued relentless wave ...

29/6/18: Debt Bubble: Staying the Course into Hurricane

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In three and a half years, the world debt has gone from being a worry to a bubble. At the end of 2014, there were just under $44 trillion ...
Thursday, June 28, 2018

27/6/18: U.S. War on Drugs: The Unwanted Dividends

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While the U.S. war in Afghanistan drags closer to marking 17th anniversary, and the U.S. war on drugs in Latin America rages into its four...
Monday, June 25, 2018

25/6/18: Wilbur Ross: The MAGAlithic Cat Fish of Washington's Swamps?

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The 'hero' of the Irish banking sector bailouts, Wilbur Ross, formerly of Bank of Ireland and Bank of Cyprus fame, a dude who woul...
Saturday, June 23, 2018

22/6/18: 'Skeptical' IMF tends to be over-optimistic in its U.S. growth forecasts

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In recent weeks, the IMF came under some criticism for posting relatively gloomy forecasts for the U.S. economy, especially considering th...
Thursday, June 21, 2018

21/6/18: Weaker growth signals for the euro area

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I have not updated Eurocoin dynamics and euro area growth forecasts for some time now, so here is the latests, from May data: Eurocoin,...
Wednesday, June 20, 2018

20/6/18: Irish Labour Force Participation Rate: Persistency of a Problem

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With the latest CSO data reporting on labour force participation figures for 1Q 2018, time to update the chart showing secular decline in ...
Sunday, June 17, 2018

17/6/18: ECB's Shift of Gears Presents Another Set of Risks

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My article for Business Post from Friday covering ECB's latest announcements on QE and interest rates:  https://www.businesspost.ie/op...
Friday, June 15, 2018

15/6/18: "Ripples in the Crypto World" - Our New Article on Systemic Risks in Cryptocurrencies

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Our new article on dynamic properties and systemic risks of key cryptocurrencies is available at: Gurdgiev, Constantin and Corbet, Shaen...

15/6/18: Italian High Yield Bonds and Markets Exuberance

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Nothing illustrates the state of asset valuations today better than the junk bonds tale from Italy. Here is a prime example from the Fitch...
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