True Economics

True Economics is about original economic ideas and analysis concerning everyday events, news, policy views and their impact on the markets and you. Enjoy and engage!

Friday, October 6, 2017

6/10/17: CA&G on Ireland's Tax, Banking Costs & Recovery

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Occasionally, the Irish Comptroller and Auditor General (C&AG) office produces some remarkable, in their honesty, and the extent of th...

5/10/17: Leverage Risk, Credit Quality & Debt Tax Shield

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In our Risk & Resilience class @ MIIS, we cover the impact of various aspects of the VUCA environment on, amongst other things, the We...

5/10/11: The Swedish Crises of 1910s & 1990s: The Lessons Never Learned

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Here is an interesting piece of evidence on the nature of real estate bubbles and financial crises these create. One of the largest fallou...
Tuesday, October 3, 2017

3/10/17: Ambiguity Fun: Perceptions of Rationality?

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Here is a very insightful and worth studying set of plots showing the perceived range of probabilities under subjective measure scenar...
Monday, October 2, 2017

1/10/17: The Old, The Young and Resources Leveraging

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In our Economics class at MIIS, we have discussed last week - briefly - the dynamics of demographic change (ageing population and cohort...
Saturday, September 30, 2017

30/9/17: Technological Revolution is Fizzling Out, as Ideas Get Harder to Find

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Nicholas Bloom, Charles Jones, John Van Reenen, and Michael Webb’s latest paper has just landed in my mailbox and it is an interesting one...
Friday, September 29, 2017

29/9/17: Eurocoin: Eurozone growth is still on the upside trend

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The latest data from Eurocoin - an early growth indicator published by Banca d’Italia and CEPR - shows robust continued growth dynamics ...

28/9/17: Pimco on Russian Economy: My Take

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An interesting post about the Russian economy, quite neatly summarising both the top-line challenges faced and the resilience exhibited to...
Thursday, September 28, 2017

28/7/17: Climbing the Deficit Mountains: Advanced Economies in the Age of Austerity

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Just a stat: between 2001-2006 period, cumulative Government deficits across the Advanced Economies rose by SUD 5.135 trillion. Over the s...

28/9/17: Schauble: A Requiem For Austerity Finance

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My comment for yesterday’s NY Times on Wolfgang Schäuble’s departure from the Finance Ministry post: https://nyti.ms/2k5N2Er  

28/9/17: Irish Migration: Some Good News in 2017

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While headline figures for net migration to Ieland paint an overall positive picture in the annual data (provided on April-April basis) ...
Thursday, September 21, 2017

21/9/17: Another reminder: Financial Crises are becoming more frequent & more disruptive

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As recently noted by Holger Zschaepitz @Schuldensuehner, new research from Deutsche Bank shows that "Post Bretton Woods (1971-) syste...
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