True Economics

True Economics is about original economic ideas and analysis concerning everyday events, news, policy views and their impact on the markets and you. Enjoy and engage!

Saturday, July 29, 2017

28/7/17: 1H Marker: Russia on Track to a Weak Recovery in 2017

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A quick top level update on the Russian economy from Bofit and Fitch Ratings. Fitch Ratings today: “The recovery in Russia continues to ...

28/7/17: Risk, Uncertainty and Markets

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I have warned about the asymmetric relationship between markets volatility and leverage inherent in lower volatility targeting strategies,...
Friday, July 28, 2017

28/7/17: Long term U.S. growth trend is still weak: 2Q 2017 Update

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U.S. GDP growth estimate for 2Q 2017 came in at 2.6%, matching the post-1948 trend for expansionary periods almost to the notch. The probl...

27/7/17: U.S. labor markets are not in rude health, yet

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As we keep hearing about the wonders of the U.S. labor markets, there is an uneasy feeling that the analysts extolling the virtues of the ...
Thursday, July 27, 2017

27/7/17: Designing a More Equitable System of School Access

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In the decades old battle for the future minds, U.S. Republicans and Democrats have been constantly at odds when it comes to how one achie...

27/7/17: The Gen-Lost is still lost...

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Today, Marketwatch reported on a research note from Spencer Hill of Goldman Sachs Research claiming that the young workers cohorts in the...
Wednesday, July 26, 2017

27/7/17: Work or Play: Snowflakes or Millennials?

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Snowflakes or Millennials? Flaky or serious? Careless or full of determination? Attitudes or aptitudes? Well, here’s an interesting study ...

26/7/17: Credit booms, busts and the real costs of debt bubbles

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A new BIS Working Paper (No 645) titled “ Accounting for debt service: the painful legacy of credit booms ” by Mathias Drehmann, Mikael Ju...

26/7/17: Panic... Not... Yet: U.S. Student Debt is Cancerous

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Reuters came up with a series of data visualisations and brief analytics pieces on the issue of student loans in the U.S. These are ‘must ...

25/7/17: Of Corporation Tax: An American Lesson

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Yes, 35% statutory tax rate in the U.S. is delivering magic results... and yes, corporations do pay taxes... Source:  https://www.cbpp....
Friday, July 21, 2017

21/7/17: What Irish Civil Service is Good For?..

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Recently released data on 2011-2016 Irish Government financial metrics shows that despite all the reports concerning the adverse impact of...

21/7/17: Professor Mario: Meet Irish Austerity Unsung Hero

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In the previous post covering CSO's latest figures on Irish Fiscal metrics, I argued that the years of austerity amount to little more...
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