True Economics

True Economics is about original economic ideas and analysis concerning everyday events, news, policy views and their impact on the markets and you. Enjoy and engage!

Tuesday, April 11, 2017

11/4/17: S&P 500 Concentration Risk

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Concentration risk is a concept that comes from banking. In simple terms, concentration risk reflects the extent to which bank's asset...

11/4/17: Euro Area Growth Conditions Remain Robust in 1Q 17

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Eurocoin, Banca d'Italia and CEPR's leading indicator of economic growth in the euro area has slipped in March to 0.72 from 0.75 i...

10/4/17: BRIC Composite PMIs 1Q 17: Not Keeping Up With Global Growth

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In two previous posts, I have covered the 1Q 2017 data for Manufacturing PMIs and Services PMIs for BRIC economies. Both indicators prov...

10/4/17: BRIC Services PMI 1Q 2017: Another Weak Quarter

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Yesterday, in my analysis of BRIC Manufacturing PMIs for 1Q 2017 , I showed that 51.1 for 1Q 2017, BRIC Manufacturing PMI average came dow...
Monday, April 10, 2017

9/4/17: JTCI Article on Cybercrime & Financial Markets Contagion

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Our paper on cybersecurity risks spillovers across financial markets was published in the JTCI: http://www.terrorismcyberinsurance.com/. Y...

9/4/17: BRIC Manufacturing PMIs 1Q 2017: Stalling Momentum

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1Q 2017 PMIs for Manufacturing are painting a mixed picture for the world's largest emerging economies, the BRIC group. Brazil's...

9/4/17: Nama's Missed Opportunities

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My Sunday Business Post article on Nama and the 'value-destruction' :  https://www.businesspost.ie/opinion/nama-missed-opportunity...

9/4/17: Oil's Bucking Bull

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My recent article for Sunday Business Post covering oil price dynamics and forecasts:  https://www.businesspost.ie/business/oils-bucking-b...
Tuesday, March 14, 2017

13/3/17: Bitcoin v Gold: Volatilities and Correlation

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On foot of the previous post, a reader asked me for some analysis of comparatives between Bitcoin volatility and Gold price volatility. It...
Sunday, March 12, 2017

12/3/17: Bitcoin Pop: Nothing too Dramatic by Historical Comparatives

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Few days back, I posted a quick note about the erroneous nature of Bitcoin-Gold comparatives . And yesterday, we had one of those events t...
Saturday, March 4, 2017

3/3/17: BRIC Manufacturing PMI: Weaker Support for Global Growth in 1Q

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The latest BRIC Manufacturing sector PMIs for February are continuing to signal support for global growth albeit at weaker rates than in ...
Friday, March 3, 2017

3/3/17: Sovereign & Corporate Credit Ratings: Slow Motion Disaster Spectacle

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Recently, I wrote about the latest Fitch Ratings data showing a dramatic decline in the number of AAA-rated sovereigns over 2016 (see:  ht...
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