Friday, April 15, 2016

15/4/16: Corporate Finance, S&P500 and Bubble Trouble...

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Classical corporate finance tells us that companies should be valued on their earnings with past earnings being indicative of future earni...

15/4/16: Slovakia v France: Risk Divergence

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I love it when the good guys lead: "Slovakia leaps ahead of France, reveals country risk survey Full article available here: http:/...

15/4/16: Of Breakeven Price of Oil: Russia v ROW

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There has been much confusion in recent months as to the 'break-even' price of oil for Russian and other producers. In particular,...

15/4/16: Banking Union, Competition and Banking Sector Concentration

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One of the key changes in recent years across the entire U.S. economy has been growth in market concentration (lower competition) and regu...
Tuesday, April 12, 2016

12/4/16: Look, Ma... It's [not] Working: IMF & the R-word

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A handy chart from the IMF highlighting changes over the last 12 months in forecast probability of recession 12mo forward across the globa...

12/4/16: IMF (RIP) Growth Update: Risks Realism, Policy Idiocy

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IMF WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK update out today (we don’t yet have full data set update). Top line forecasts published confirm what we alrea...
Monday, April 11, 2016

10/4/16: The Real 'Panamas' Of Tax Havens... Are Not In Central America

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The story of the Panama Papers leak has brought, on a 3.6 terabyte scale, the issue of money laundering and tax evasion back to the forefr...
Sunday, April 10, 2016

10/4/16: Russian Bonds Issuance: Some Recent Points of Pressure

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Catching up with some data from past few weeks over a number of post and starting with some Russian data. First, March issue of Russian ...
Thursday, April 7, 2016

7/4/16: Globalization and the Future of Work

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As promised, my slides deck from Tuesday's CXC Global event on the Future of Work and Contingent Workforce ...

6/4/16: Apps, Contingent Workforce and U.S. Employment Trends

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Here is an interesting chart from the WSJ on the scale of the apps platforms-related Gig-economy employment and the underlying trends in g...
Sunday, April 3, 2016

2/4/16: Tsipras: Europe's Cross of Forest Gump and Donald Trump

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The tragedy of Europe is the comedy of Europe. And it is best illustrated in the case of Greece, or by Greece, where the latest debt-relat...
Sunday, March 20, 2016

20/3/16: Economic Reality v Central Banking: Vegas-styled Showdown

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What’s going wrong with the global monetary policy? Nothing, really, except for the economic reality. Let me explain. In a forthcoming a...