True Economics

True Economics is about original economic ideas and analysis concerning everyday events, news, policy views and their impact on the markets and you. Enjoy and engage!

Sunday, March 22, 2015

22/3/15: Ukraine: disastrous growth figures

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Ten quarters of shrinking GDP, out of 11 last. Ukraine: Source: FT When's the next 'rethink' by the IMF of the debt pro...

21/3/15: Two Pesky Facts and Russian 'Liberal Democracy' Dream

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Here's a problem, folks. Let's take two facts: Vladimir Putin's approval ratings are currently in the upper 80s: http://www...
Saturday, March 21, 2015

21/3/15: Irish patents filings Q4 2014

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Latest data on Irish patents, courtesy of NewMorningIP.com: chart below shows a decline in total patents filings in Q4 2014 compared to Q3...

21/315: Russia Forex Reserves: Down Another Week

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Based on weekly data for the week of March 13, 2015, Russian Central Bank forex reserves fell to USD351.7 billion, down USD5 billion on pr...
Friday, March 20, 2015

20/3/15: Central Bank Interventions in Ruble Markets down to Zero in February

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Don't hear much of "Panic at the Central Bank of Russia" reports as of late in the Western media - the ones that whipped int...

20/3/15: Russia: Agri-food Sector and Falling Real Household Incomes

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As BOFIT reported last week, 2014 marked the first year since 1999 crisis when Russian households experienced a decline in real household ...
Thursday, March 19, 2015

Hedge Funds Returns: Part 4: To higher moments and beyond

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My latest post for LearnSignal Blog on the topic of measuring hedge funds' returns:  http://blog.learnsignal.com/?p=165
Wednesday, March 18, 2015

18/3/15: Russian Deposits Dollarisation and Capital Flight

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I have written before about the nature of capital outflows from Russia. One aspect of capital outflows is how the aggregate reflects depo...
Tuesday, March 17, 2015

17/3/15: IMF Cries Wolf as Emerging Markets Currencies Plunge

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Remember the Russian Ruble Melt of 2014? Now get ready for the Emerging Markets Currencies Shake-n-Bake of 2015: H/T: @Schuldensuehne...

17/3/2015: Russian Banks Latest Stats: January-February 2015

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Some interesting banking sector stats were reported this week by the deputy head of the Central Bank of Russia, Mikhail Suhov during the R...
Monday, March 16, 2015

16/3/15: Ukraine's Government Debt Projections: Smiling IMF, Whinging Private Lenders

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Few weeks ago I covered in some details the implications for Ukraine of the latest IMF-led lending package:  http://trueeconomics.blogspot...

16/3/2015: Some new 2015-2018 forecasts for the Russian Economy

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Amidst much of the (occasionally informed) speculation as to the whereabouts of Russian President Putin (see for example this rather infor...
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