Sunday, March 27, 2011

27/03/2011: Annual GDP and GNP - few lessons to be learned

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I haven't had time to update QNA numbers on the blog, but here's a nice preview charts of analysis to come. First annual GDP and GNP...
9 comments:
Saturday, March 19, 2011

19/03/2011: Retail sales & Consumer confidence

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In the previous post I suggested that the latest inflation figures do not bode well for 'growth-linked inflation, but signal instead the...

19/03/2011: CPI update for February 2011

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Some belated data charts updates. Irish CPI: The chart above shows the uptick in February CPI (up 0.9%mom and 2.2% yoy) and HICP (up 0.9% m...
3 comments:

19/03/2011: Updated probabilities of default

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Updated probabilities of default and spreads on Irish bonds. As usual, a preventative disclaimer - this is just simple mathematical estimate...
Thursday, March 17, 2011

17/03/2011: 20 years ago

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Twenty years ago, 70% of the Soviet citizens freely - with no physical coercion, no vote rigging (although with psychological pre-conditioni...
1 comment:
Saturday, March 12, 2011

12/03/2011: Updated probabilities of default

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Weekly close data-based estimates of the probability of default on Irish sovereign bonds, based on yields. Note: these are mathematical esti...
2 comments:
Sunday, March 6, 2011

06/03/2011: The Programme for Government - Part 1

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Here are some of my comments (notice - not criticisms, by comments - these are thoughts in progress) on the FG-Labor Programme for Governmen...
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06/03/2011: Kauffman survey of economics bloggers

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Kauffman Foundation - non-partisan US-based research think tank studying the issues of entrepreneurship. It describes itself as: "dedic...
1 comment:
Saturday, March 5, 2011

05/03/2011: Our economic meltdown

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Our latest paper on Irish economic meltdown (forthcoming in the refereed economics journal Panoeconomicus) is available on ssrn web page for...
2 comments:
Friday, March 4, 2011

04/03/2011: Default probabilities

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Some people were asking me recently to give an estimate of the sovereign default probabilities for Ireland based on bonds yields. Here are t...
3 comments:
Thursday, March 3, 2011

03/03/2011: IMF quota goes up, Ireland's rate goes down, but at a cost

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Good news, sort of... we gave IMF some €500mln and they reduced out interest bill on their loan by some €220mln... (hat tip to Lorcan for th...
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03/03/2011: Banks & debt crisis

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Amended below This was made public late last night and has serious implications for the Irish banks. If you recall, last summer ...
1 comment: