True Economics

True Economics is about original economic ideas and analysis concerning everyday events, news, policy views and their impact on the markets and you. Enjoy and engage!

Showing posts with label yield curve. Show all posts

Wednesday, March 18, 2020

18/3/20: Yield Curve and Recessions

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Some things work even in pandemics:

Wednesday, July 31, 2019

31/7/19: Canary in the Treasuries mine

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Judging by U.S. Treasuries, things are getting pretty ugly in the economy: The gap between long-dated bond yields and short-dated pap...

Wednesday, July 3, 2019

2/7/19: Inverted Yield Curve

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Inverting U.S. yield curve is one of the best early indicators of recessions. Or at least it used to be... before all the monetary policy ...

Tuesday, April 2, 2019

2/4/19: World Economic Conditions and Yield Signals

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Global divergence... ... until global convergence? More likely, the latter: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-ecb-policy-rates...

Friday, January 4, 2019

3/1/19: Happy New 2019 or 2018 or 2008...

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Happy New Old Year 2019... oh, wait... As @lisaabramowicz1 notes: "The gap between 3-month T-bill and 10-year Treasury yields ha...

Monday, July 30, 2018

30/7/18: Annotated History of the U.S. Treasury Yield Curve

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Courtesy of the forgotten source (apologies) a neat summary chart plotting the timeline of the 10 year U.S. Treasury yield: For...

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