Showing posts with label risk. Show all posts
Showing posts with label risk. Show all posts
Thursday, May 27, 2021

27/521: Euromoney on China's Belt-and-Road Initiative

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  Euromoney recently covered update of risk analysis involving development of China-led Belt and Road initiative:  https://www.euromoneycoun...
Monday, April 26, 2021

25/4/21: Impact Finance perspective of the systemic threats to blockchain applications

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  New paper (pre-print version):  Gurdgiev, Constantin and Fleming, Adam, Informational efficiency and cybersecurity threats: A Social Impac...
Saturday, December 12, 2020

12/12/20: Hungary's risk improvement in peril

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 My comment for Euromoney on changes in sovereign risk profile for Hungary:  https://www.euromoneycountryrisk.com/article/b1pjjpq2xr2bfy/hun...
Saturday, October 31, 2020

31/10/20: Gold Coins Market is Still Hedging Residual Covid Risk

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Sales of the U.S. Mint gold coins have moderated off their pandemic highs, but remain elevated by historical standards, especially controlli...
Thursday, September 17, 2020

17/9/20: Exploding errors: COVID19 and VUCA world of economic growth forecasts

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  Just as I covered the latest changes in Eurozone growth indicators ( https://trueeconomics.blogspot.com/2020/09/17920-eurocoin-leading-gro...
Saturday, July 25, 2020

25/7/20: Markets and COVID19: Unwinding Restrictions

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My column for Manning Financial on the direction of the markets in the period of COVID19 restrictions unwinding:  https://cfc.ie/2020/07/...
Sunday, June 14, 2020

13/6/20: Gold Coins Sales are Up, and the Markets are Screaming Something New

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Some interesting movements in demand for gold coins in recent months, worth watching: Price is up, and volume of sales is quite volatile. St...
Thursday, April 30, 2020

30/4/20: No, Healthcare Systems are Not Lean Startups, Mr. Musk

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A tweet from @elonmusk yesterday has prompted a brief response from myself: https://twitter.com/GTCost/status/1255681426445365248?s=20...
Tuesday, January 21, 2020

21/1/20: Investor Fear and Uncertainty in Cryptocurrencies

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Our paper on behavioral biases in cryptocurrencies trading is now published by the Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance  volume ...
Friday, January 10, 2020

9/1/20: Herding and Anchoring in Cryptocurrency Markets

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Our new paper, with Daniel O'Loughlin, titled "Herding and Anchoring in Cryptocurrency Markets: Investor Reaction to Fear and Unc...
Tuesday, January 7, 2020

7/1/20: Euromoney on 2020 Risk Outlook for the Eurozone

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Euromoney on Eurozone risks into 2020, with some comments from me: https://www.euromoney.com/article/b1js9nd289vtm9/country-risk...
Wednesday, October 16, 2019

16/10/19: Euromoney Risk Survey Q3 2019 Results

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Euromoney analysis of Q3 2019 results for country risk surveys and risk outlook forward, with lots of comments from myself and others:  ht...
Wednesday, July 3, 2019

2/7/19: Inverted Yield Curve

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Inverting U.S. yield curve is one of the best early indicators of recessions. Or at least it used to be... before all the monetary policy ...
Tuesday, April 2, 2019

2/4/19: World Economic Conditions and Yield Signals

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Global divergence... ... until global convergence? More likely, the latter:  https://www.reuters.com/article/us-ecb-policy-rates...
Friday, December 28, 2018

28/12/18: BTCD is neither a hedge nor a safe haven for stocks

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A quick - and dirty - run through the argument that Bitcoin serves as a hedge or a safe haven for stocks. This argument has been popular i...
Tuesday, October 30, 2018

29/10/18: Corporate Credit and the Debt Powder Keg

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As it says on the tin: despite growth in earnings, the numbers of U.S. companies that are struggling with interest payments on the gargant...
Wednesday, April 25, 2018

25/4/18: Tesla: Lessons in Severe and Paired Risks and Uncertainties

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Tesla, the darling of environmentally-sensible professors around the academia and financially ignorant herd-following investors around the...
Monday, April 16, 2018

15/4/18: EuromoneyCountryRisk 1Q 2018 report

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Euromoney Country Risk 1Q 2018 report  (gated link) is out, quoting, amongst others, myself on geopolitical and macroeconomic headwinds to...
Sunday, April 8, 2018

8/4/18: Tail Risk and Liquidity Risk: What about that Alpha?

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An interesting data set that illustrates two key concepts relating to financial returns, covered extensively in my courses: Liquidity r...
Tuesday, January 16, 2018

15/1/18: Of Fraud and Whales: Bitcoin Price Manipulation

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Recently, I wrote about the potential risks that concentration of Bitcoin in the hands of few holders ('whales') presents and the ...