Showing posts with label geopolitical risk. Show all posts
Showing posts with label geopolitical risk. Show all posts
Thursday, May 27, 2021

27/521: Euromoney on China's Belt-and-Road Initiative

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  Euromoney recently covered update of risk analysis involving development of China-led Belt and Road initiative:  https://www.euromoneycoun...
Tuesday, May 5, 2020

5/5/20: A simple view of Globalization: some thoughts

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Globalization in  retreat chart via PIIE:  https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economic-issues-watch/pandemic-adds-momentum-deglobalizatio...
Friday, March 20, 2020

20/3/20: Euromoney on Risk Landscape Changes

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Euromoney on changing risk landscape for global sovereigns:  https://www.euromoney.com/article/b1ktp0wqc12jyb/ecr-risk-experts-contemplate...
Thursday, December 6, 2018

6/12/18: Are Younger Americans More Comfortable With a Multipolar World?

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When it comes to challenging status quo heuristics, the younger generations usually pave the way. The same applies to the heuristics relat...

6/12/18: When it comes to geopolitical & socio-economic anxiety, Europe's problem is European

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Europe is a sitting duck for major geopolitical risk, but the U.S. is getting there too: And volatility surrounding the uncertainty ...
Friday, April 20, 2018

19/4/18: Geopolitical Risk: Who Cares?..

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Geo-political risks, geo-shmalitical risks... who cares... not the markets... None of the geopolitical risks registered on S&P 50...
Sunday, March 25, 2018

25/3/18: Quantum computing and cyber security: a perfectly VUCA mix?

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One interesting topic worth discussing in the context of VUCA and systemic resilience is quantum computing. The promise of quantum computi...
Monday, March 5, 2018

5/2/18: Italy Smacks into VUCA Wall

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VUCA wins. In Italy. Italian elections results are coming in and several key VUCA components are now clearly at play in Europe's thi...
Friday, January 12, 2018

12/1/18: Euromoney Credit Risk Survey of 2017

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Euromoney Country Risk survey for 2017 is out with comments from, amongst others, myself: ( https://www.euromoneycountryrisk.com/Analysis/...
Tuesday, December 26, 2017

26/12/17: U.S. Wars Budgets: More Lessons Never Learned

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An interesting report on the official accounts for war-related spending in the U.S. is available here:  http://www.ibtimes.com/political-c...
Saturday, December 23, 2017

23/12/17: Bloomberg View on Asymmetric Military Budgets: Russia v U.S.

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I have written before about asymmetric conflicts and power balances in the context, among other bilateral comparatives, the U.S.-Russia mi...
Tuesday, September 12, 2017

12/9/17: Asymmetric Conflicts and U.S. 'Learning Curve'

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'Asymmetric warfare' or more aptly, 'asymmetric conflict' involves a confrontation between two sets of agents in which one...
Friday, June 16, 2017

16/6/17: Trumpery & Knavery: New Paper on Washington's Geopolitical Rebalancing

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Not normally my cup of tea, but Valdai Club  work is worth following for all Russia watchers, regardless of whether you agree or disagree ...
Saturday, April 15, 2017

15/4/17: Naughty and Not Very Nice: French Presidential Hopefuls

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A neat summary (ignore polls numbers at the top - these are dated) of political platforms behind the key Presidential election candidate...
Sunday, September 28, 2014

28/9/2014: Political Risks and MENA Equities Valuations

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A quick and accessible writeup on our (still work-in-progress) paper on "Political Risks and Financial Markets: MENA perspective"...
Thursday, September 25, 2014

25/9/2014: "We sit in the mud... and reach for the stars": ISIS and Western Policy

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For the Laughs... or dead serious: via  @ bill_easterly Throw in Russia into the above equation and the 'mud' gets epic. Tu...
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