Showing posts with label Ukraine. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ukraine. Show all posts
Saturday, February 16, 2019

16/2/19: Deep Crises: past, present, future?

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Venezuela's economic (and political, social, public, etc) woes have been documented with exhaustion, although no one so far has produc...
Wednesday, February 10, 2016

10/2/16: IMF to Ukraine: Sort Thyselves!

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IMF on Ukraine (and it is narsty): The only surprising bit is the tone. It is quite frankly unbelievable to think that the IMF were r...
Friday, December 18, 2015

18/12/15: Ukraine Inches Even Closer to a Default

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So, we have this: Which means that Ukraine and Russia - so far - have failed to agree terms of debt restructuring. As a reminder, over...
Tuesday, August 4, 2015

4/8/15: IMF Downgrades Ukraine Growth Outlook

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IMF just published its Article IV consultation paper on Ukraine. Here are some key points (I am staying out of extensive commenting on the...
Monday, July 13, 2015

13/7/15: IMF's Russian Economy Forecasts 2015-2016

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IMF WEO update covered, briefly, changes to the Fund outlook for the Russian economy. Here's a summary: Overall, the only point he...
Tuesday, June 23, 2015

23/6/15: Ukraine's Debt Haircuts Saga: One Step Forward, Two Steps Back

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Two big setbacks for Ukraine in its bid to cut the overall debt burden and achieve targets mandated by the IMF. First, Moody issued a no...
Saturday, June 20, 2015

20/6/15: Danske Outlook & Forecast for Ukraine

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Danske Bank outlook and forecast for Ukraine:
Friday, June 12, 2015

12/6/15: IMF Tells Kiev: "Default"

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Things are getting really testy Friday night in Ukraine. As I noted earlier today (see here: http://trueeconomics.blogspot.ie/2015/06/1261...

12/6/15: Ukraine Debt Haircuts

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Important article today in the FT on the issue of write downs on Ukrainian debt: http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/949628a4-102a-11e5-bd70-00...
Sunday, May 31, 2015

31/5/15: IMF slashes Ukraine Economy Outlook

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IMF statement on Ukraine with some pretty ugly forecast revisions. [Note, emphasis in italics is mine] "Press Release No. 15/243,...
Saturday, May 30, 2015

30/5/15: Private Sector Counter-Proposal for Ukrainian Debt Restructuring

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An interesting and far-reaching article on Ukraine's attempts to restructure some of its debts via Bloomberg: http://www.bloomberg.com...
Monday, May 18, 2015

17/5/15: Forbes Opinion Piece on Ukrainian Crisis

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An interesting, unorthodox - for Western media - perspective on the Ukrainian crisis and Russian longer term problem: http://www.forbes.co...
Sunday, May 17, 2015

17/5/15: Ukraine's GDP down 17.6% in 1Q

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Some pretty bad numbers out of Ukraine this week.  Remember that 1Q 2015 Russian GDP shrunk 1.9% y/y in real terms and the forecasts ...
Friday, March 27, 2015

27/3/15: Inching toward default: Ukraine CDS

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Ukraine default scenarios (and debt restructuring) is now in the front line news, especially with IMF declaring then un-declaring its dist...
Sunday, March 22, 2015

22/3/15: Ukraine: disastrous growth figures

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Ten quarters of shrinking GDP, out of 11 last. Ukraine: Source: FT When's the next 'rethink' by the IMF of the debt pro...
Monday, March 16, 2015

16/3/15: Ukraine's Government Debt Projections: Smiling IMF, Whinging Private Lenders

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Few weeks ago I covered in some details the implications for Ukraine of the latest IMF-led lending package:  http://trueeconomics.blogspot...
Wednesday, March 11, 2015

11/3/15: IMF Approves Bailout 3.0 for Ukraine

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IMF statement on Ukraine: Backgrounders:  http://trueeconomics.blogspot.ie/2015/02/18215-imf-package-for-ukraine-some.html  and here:...
Monday, February 23, 2015

23/2/15: Ukraine CDS-implied Default Rate Shoots Above 97%

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As noted by @Schuldensuehner Ukraine's probability of default is now just shy of 97.1%: Which is spectacular in its own right. Bu...
Saturday, February 21, 2015

21/2/15: Russian Sovereign Wealth Funds: 2015 drawdowns

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In the previous note I covered Moody's downgrade of Russian sovereign debt rating (see http://trueeconomics.blogspot.ie/2015/02/21215-...

21/2/15: Moody's Downgrade: Russia Risks and Politics

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Moody's downgraded Russian sovereign debt last night from Baa3 to Ba1 with negative outlook. Moody's put Russian ratings on a revi...