Showing posts with label Markets. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Markets. Show all posts
Monday, May 3, 2021

3/5/21: Margin Debt: Things are FOMOing up...

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 Debt, debt and more FOMO... Source: topdowncharts.com and my annotations Ratio of leveraged longs to shorts is at around 3.5, which is 2014...
Thursday, September 17, 2020

17/9/20: Exploding errors: COVID19 and VUCA world of economic growth forecasts

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  Just as I covered the latest changes in Eurozone growth indicators ( https://trueeconomics.blogspot.com/2020/09/17920-eurocoin-leading-gro...

17/9/20: Stonks are Getting Balmier than in the Dot.Com Heat

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Via Liz Ann Sonders @LizAnnSonders of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. a neat chart summarizing the madness of the King Market these days: Yea...
Saturday, July 25, 2020

25/7/20: Markets and COVID19: Unwinding Restrictions

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My column for Manning Financial on the direction of the markets in the period of COVID19 restrictions unwinding:  https://cfc.ie/2020/07/...
Friday, July 24, 2020

24/7/20: Bonds v Stocks: Of Yields, Investors and Large Predators

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Corporates are reeling from the COVID19 pandemic impacts, yet stocks are severely overpriced by all possible corporate finance metrics. Un...
Monday, June 8, 2020

8/6/20: 30 years of Financial Markets Manipulation

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Students in my course Applied Investment and Trading in TCD would be familiar with the market impact of the differential bid-ask spreads ...
Wednesday, May 6, 2020

6/5/20: S&P500 and Fundamentals: What should matter, doesn't

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S&P500 and earnings per share: what should matter, doesn't We are now in extreme territory of the markets ignoring basic cor...

6/5/20: 1Q 2020 US GDP:

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From Factset: "The decrease in first-quarter real GDP was largely driven by the 7.6% decline in consumer spending, which subtracted 5...

6/5/20: S&P500 Earnings and Revenues Growth 1Q 2020

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With early effects of COVID19 pandemic in: Both charts via Factset.
Saturday, March 21, 2020

21/3/20: Updated: Markets Impact of #Covid19

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Updated markets impact: DJIA % change on close, down % change on close, up 19/10/1987 -22.61% 13/10/2008 11.08% 16/03/2020 -12.93% 28/...
Friday, March 20, 2020

20/3/20: Euromoney on Risk Landscape Changes

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Euromoney on changing risk landscape for global sovereigns:  https://www.euromoney.com/article/b1ktp0wqc12jyb/ecr-risk-experts-contemplate...
Wednesday, March 18, 2020

18/3/20: Banks, The Fed and Money Markets Woes

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My article for the International Banker  on pre-Covid monetary policy bottlenecks in the US markets is out and available here:  https://in...
Tuesday, February 25, 2020

25/2/2020: No, 2019-nCov did not push forward PE ratios to 2002 levels

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Markets are having a conniption these days and coronavirus is all the rage in the news flow.  Here is the 5 days chart for the major indic...
Friday, February 14, 2020

14/2/20: Pandemics, Panics and the Markets

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In my recent article for The Currency  I wrote about the expected market effects of the 2019-nCov coronavirus outbreak:  https://www.thecu...
Tuesday, January 21, 2020

21/1/20: Investor Fear and Uncertainty in Cryptocurrencies

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Our paper on behavioral biases in cryptocurrencies trading is now published by the Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance  volume ...
Wednesday, January 15, 2020

15/1/20: What Trade Deal Phase 1/N Says About the Four Horsemen of Apocalypse

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Phase 1 of N of the "Greatest Trade Deal" that is "easiest to achieve' by the 'stablest Genius' is hitting the ...

15/1/20: S&P500 Historical Performance

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Via BAML and @tracyalloway, a chart plotting the distribution of annual returns on S&P500, 1872-2019: The stylised nature of this...
Tuesday, January 7, 2020

7/1/20: Tax cuts, trade and growth: The Trumponomics Effect

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My article on U.S. economy and the implied risks to investors for Manning Financial and Cathedral: https://cfc.ie/2019/12/10/tax-cuts-tra...

7/1/20: Euromoney on 2020 Risk Outlook for the Eurozone

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Euromoney on Eurozone risks into 2020, with some comments from me: https://www.euromoney.com/article/b1js9nd289vtm9/country-risk...

7/1/20: BRIC Services PMIs 4Q 2019

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BRIC Services PMIs have been a mixed bag in 4Q 2019, beating overall Global Services PMI, but showing similar weaknesses and renewed volat...