Showing posts with label Euro area periphery. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Euro area periphery. Show all posts
Sunday, June 17, 2018

17/6/18: ECB's Shift of Gears Presents Another Set of Risks

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My article for Business Post from Friday covering ECB's latest announcements on QE and interest rates:  https://www.businesspost.ie/op...
Thursday, February 4, 2016

4/2/16: Tear Gas v Lagarde’s Tears: Greece

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Here’s Greece on pensions reforms: Source:  https://www.rt.com/news/331265-greece-tear-gas-protet/#.VrN56JItCdA.twitter Here’s IMF o...
Wednesday, January 27, 2016

26/1/16: Chances of Repairing Greece?..

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When someone says that Europe (or anyone else) "has missed a chance to" stabilise or repair or make sustainable or return to gro...
Sunday, September 20, 2015

20/9/15: Euromoney: "Cyprus almost as safe as Portugal"

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"The Cyprus risk score has steadily improved this year in Euromoney’s crowdsourcing survey, rebounding in Q2, and is seemingly on cou...
Sunday, June 7, 2015

7/6/15: Greece: How Much Pain Compared to Ireland & Italy

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Today, I took part in a panel discussion about Greek situation on NewstalkFM radio (here is the podcast link  http://www.newstalk.com/podc...
Saturday, December 27, 2014

27/12/2014: Geography of the Euro Area Debt Flows

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The debate about who was rescued in the euro area 'peripheral' economies banking crisis will be raging on for years to come. One i...
Sunday, August 10, 2014

10/8/2014: Can EU Rely on Large Primary Surpluses to Solve its Debt Problem?

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Another paper relating to debt corrections/deflations, this time covering the euro area case. " A Surplus of Ambition: Can Europe Rel...
Saturday, June 21, 2014

21/6/2014: IMF 'Waived' Sustainability Requirement in Lending to Euro Area Countries

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IMF paper, published yesterday now fully admits that the Fund has 'waived' its own core requirements for lending under the core ...
1 comment:
Thursday, May 22, 2014

22/5/2014: Paging Super Mario: Cleanup in the German Isle

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Remember the OMT - the ballistic missile Super Mario fired in the direction of the markets to calm the hell out of them and dramatically l...
1 comment:
Saturday, April 26, 2014

25/4/2014: A stretch of numbers here... a bond sale there... Greek Deficit in 2013

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This week we had the data release by Eurostat showing the fiscal position of the euro area sovereigns for 2013, followed by the statement ...
Sunday, April 6, 2014

6/4/2014: IMF forecasts of unemployment; 'peripheral' countries

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Note to my previously posted Sunday Times column from March 23, 2014 and to my Sunday Times column from March 30, 2014 (still to be poste...
Saturday, January 18, 2014

18/1/2014: Portugal 'doin Dublin' or going for broke?

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A very interesting interview with David Slanic, CEO of Tortus Capital Management LLC on Portugal's sovereign debt sustainability and t...
Friday, January 10, 2014

10/1/2014: Ambrose Evans-Pritchard on Euro area's miracle of recovery

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A very good article by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard on the fallacy of European 'leaders' view of the peripheral countries economic stab...
1 comment:
Thursday, November 14, 2013

14/11/2013: With banks or without, things are heading for desperate in Italy...

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The banks stress tests are coming up and the Euro periphery system is quickly attempting to patch up the massive cracks in the facade. The ...
Sunday, October 27, 2013

27/10/2013: Irish CDS spreads: a reason to smile for a change...

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It might be disheartening sometimes (often) to read the newsflow involving Irish economy. But occasionally, there are some really worthy de...
Tuesday, October 8, 2013

8/10/2013: Jokers Burning Money: Public Sector Reforms - Village, October 2013

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My article for the Village Magazine on pre-Budget 2014 analysis of health spending in Ireland: http://www.villagemagazine.ie/index.php/201...

8/10/2013: German Voters Go For Status Quo... Redux: Sunday Times September 29, 2013

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This is an unedited version of my Sunday Times column from September 29, 2013. By any measure, last Sunday's German elections highl...
2 comments:
Thursday, October 3, 2013

2/10/2013: Euro area sovereign crisis: predictable and reasonably priced?

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Can a model-based credit ratings system be used to predict future fiscal distress? Answer seems to be: yes. And have the fiscal downgra...
Sunday, September 29, 2013

29/9/2013: Economic Sentiment in Europe: Not Exactly a 'Crisis Over' Signal

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There's a lot of optimism in the air nowadays across the EU with eurocrats of all shades of grey busying themselves declaring the end o...
Wednesday, July 17, 2013

17/7/2013: Wrong Austerity Compounds the Failures of the Monetary Union

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Recent CEPR paper DP9541 (July 2013), titled "Debt Crises and Risk Sharing: The Role of Markets versus Sovereigns" by Sebnem Kal...