Showing posts with label Advanced economies. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Advanced economies. Show all posts
Tuesday, October 2, 2018

2/10/18: Government Debt per Employed Person

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We often see Government debt expressed in reference to GDP or in per capita terms. However, carry capacity of sovereign debt depends not a...
Tuesday, May 8, 2018

8/5/18: Germany's ifo: World Economic Climate Deteriorates

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Here is the summary of the Germany's ifo Institute World Economic Climate outlook update (emphasis is mine): "The ifo World Eco...
Tuesday, April 12, 2016

12/4/16: Look, Ma... It's [not] Working: IMF & the R-word

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A handy chart from the IMF highlighting changes over the last 12 months in forecast probability of recession 12mo forward across the globa...

12/4/16: IMF (RIP) Growth Update: Risks Realism, Policy Idiocy

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IMF WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK update out today (we don’t yet have full data set update). Top line forecasts published confirm what we alrea...
Friday, February 19, 2016

19/2/16: OECD Data Sums Up the 'Repaired' Advanced Economies State of Disaster

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Just because everything has been so thoroughly repaired when it comes to the Advanced Economies, growth of real GDP in the OECD area has b...
Sunday, January 10, 2016

10/1/16: Crisis Contagion from Advanced Economies into BRIC

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New paper available: Gurdgiev, Constantin and Trueick, Barry, Crisis Contagion from Advanced Economies into Bric: Not as Simple as in th...
Wednesday, December 30, 2015

30/12/15: Blink by 25bps, chew through billions: U.S. rates 'normalization'

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In a post yesterday, I mentioned USD3 trillion hole in global bonds markets looming on the horizon as the U.S. Fed embarks on its cautiou...
Monday, November 30, 2015

30/11/15: WarningSignals on Secular Stagnation Threats

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The readers of this blog know that I have been covering the twin theses of Secular Stagnation (long-term trend in slowdown of global grow...
Sunday, October 4, 2015

4/10/15: Secular Stagnation and the Promise of the Recovery

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An unedited version of my recent requested guest contribution for News Max on the issue of secular stagnation (July-August 2015). Secul...
Sunday, August 2, 2015

2/8/15: Global Trade: Welcome to the Economic ICU

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An interesting, if short, note on woeful state of global trade flows from Fitch (link here ). The key point is that: Subject to all t...
Tuesday, April 7, 2015

7/4/15: IMF WEO on Global Investment Slump: Part 2: It's Demand, Not Supply ..

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IMF released Chapter 4 of the April 2015 World Economic Outlook update. The chapter covers the issue of lagging growth in private investmen...

7/4/15: IMF WEO on Global Investment Slump: Part 1: It's Private Sector Issue..

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IMF released Chapter 4 of the April 2015 World Economic Outlook update. The chapter covers the issue of lagging growth in private investme...
Monday, February 16, 2015

16/2/15: Current Account, Growth and 'Exports-led Recovery': 1999-2014

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There is one European economic policy/theory fetishism that stresses the importance of external balance in 'underpinning sustainable&#...
Wednesday, February 4, 2015

4/2/15: Debt Overhang and Sluggish Growth

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Debt overhang and its impact on growth has been a rather controversial topic over the recent years. One of the key contributors to the deb...
Friday, December 26, 2014

26/12/2014: Advanced Economies: Public Debt Explosion 2008-2014

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Some interesting insight into the legacy of the Great Recession that we are carrying over into 2015. From the start of 2008 through 2014: ...
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