Thursday, July 3, 2014

2/7/2014: Russia Services & Composite PMI: June 2014

Russia Services PMI (Markit & HSBC) is out today for June 2014, posting a reading of 49.8 - virtually indistinguishable from zero growth. 3moMA is now at 47.6 against previous 3moMA at 49.6. In April-June 2013, 3mo MA was 51.1.

June marked the fourth consecutive month of Services PMI below 50.0 and the index has been posting slowdown in the economy since October 2012, with first negative growth signals coming through in Summer 2013.

With improved manufacturing reading (see earlier post here), the Composite PMI for the Russian economy strengthened to 50.1 in June from 47.1 in May. May 2014 marked the lowest reading in the index since May 2009, so not surprisingly, activity showed a slight bounce back. At current levels, however, the economy is not showing signs of recovery.

3mo MA as of June is at 48.3 and 3mo MA for the previous 3 months is at 49.2. Both contrast against the 3mo MA through June 2013 at 51.2/

Again, the slowdown in activity is marked from October 2012.

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