Friday, August 2, 2013

2/8/2013: The Impossible Monetary Dilemma: July update

Two charts updating the Impossible Monetary Dilemma through July:


Good luck to all believing tapering will be enough to get monetary policy to mean-revert. Oh, and in case you wonder, mean reverting refers to historical mean - which is skewed downward by the period of historical lows of 2001-2005 and H2 2008- present. Even that historical mean is out of reach for any ordinary tightening.

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